Stocks are one type of investment that promises return for investors but often carries a high risk. Value at Risk (VaR) is measuring tool can calculate the amount worst loss occurs in stock portfolio with certain level confidence and within time period. In general, financial data have volatility value, which causes residuals not normally distributed. ARCH/GARCH modoel used to solve heteroscedas...

Abstract We employ daily aggregate and sectoral S&P500 data to shed further light on the day-of-the-week anomaly using GARCH EGARCH models. obtain following results: First, there is strong evidence for effects in all sectors, implying that these are part of a wide phenomenon affecting entire market structure. Second, rolling-regressions, we find significant seasonality represents small proporti...

1 لوئسم هدنسیون : ناریا ،نارهت ،نارهت هاگشناد ،یمیش یسدنهم هدکشناد ،يژولونکتویب هورگ ،رایشناد . یکینورتکلا تسپ : [email protected] 2 ناریا ،يراس ،ناردنزام تاقیقحت و مولع یملاسا دازآ هاگشناد ،ییاذغ عیانص و مولع هدکشناد ،دشرا سانشراک . 3 ناریا ،نارهت ،نارهت هاگشناد ،یمیش یسدنهم هدکشناد ،يژولونکتویب هورگ ،دشرا سانشراک . 4 و مولع یملاسا دازآ هاگشناد ،یمیش هدکشناد ،رایداتسا ناریا ،يراس ،نار...

a r t i c l e i n f o JEL classification: G01 G11 G15 Keywords: Stock market integration DCC-GARCH model Price differentials Exchange rate risk Trade linkages GFC EGARCH In this study, we examine the patterns and causes of stock market integration of selected emerging Asian nations against the US, Australia, China, and India for the period 1 January 2001 to 31 March 2012. We compare patterns of...

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to compare different models’ performance in modelling and forecasting the Finnish house price returns volatility. Design/methodology/approach competing models are autoregressive moving average (ARMA) model fractional integrated (ARFIMA) for returns. For volatility, exponential generalized conditional heteroscedasticity (EGARCH) with GARCH (FIGARCH) component...

تعمج تانايبلا . ةيجهنم ةعجارم تناك ةساردلا هذه :هقیرطلا و ةصالخا تاملكلا لامعتساو تانايبلا ةدعاق يف ثحبلا للاخ نم زجالحا " :یتلاا تناك ةصالخا تاملكلا .ثحبلا یف قمعتلا ريياعلما . " ةطبثلما لماوعلا " و "ءاسنلل ةدلاولا لبق ةياعرلا " لوصو" ٬" یف قمعتلا وةساردلا دعب .OR ،AND تناك ةيقطنلما لماوعلا تلااقم تددحو تضفر ةطبارتم ريغ تلااقم ، هفلتخلما تلااقلما تلااقلما رايتخلاا رايعم .تلااقلما لذل اصخلم اها...

With China's continuous opening to the outside world, changes in international environment and operation of cross-border RMB settlement system (CIPS), scale has fluctuated continuously. In response this phenomenon, authors collected sorted out total amount payments from 2011 2020 time sequence data China, then use five AR models including ARMA, GARCH(1.1), EGARCH(1.1), PARCH(1.1), CARCH(1.1) fi...

ةــصلاـخلا : سا وه ةنيجهلا ملعتلا ةمظنأ يدحت نإ تامولعملا رداصم دحأ نم ةعبانلا تامولعملا لامعت رخآ ردصم نع ةمجانلا صئاقنلا ةنزاومل . كلذ و ةدعاو ثحب ةهجو لثمي يزمرلا يكبشلا جزملا نإ ةيزمرلا نيتقيرطلا نيب دضاعتلا نلأ ) ةيرظنلا ( ةيكبشلا و ) ةيبيرجتلا ( لآ لامعتسا نم ةيلاعف رثآأ ادح ىلع امهنم ةدحاو . لا اذه فصي ،يزمر يكبش فنصم ةطساوب ةيفرحلا ةيبرعلا غلابملا ىلع فرعتلل اماظن ثحب ،ةيلاملا غلابملا...