We study international transmissions and welfare implications of monetary shocks in a twocountry world with multiple stages of production and multiple boarder-crossings of intermediate goods. This empirically relevant feature is important, as it has opposite implications for two external spillover effects of a unilateral monetary expansion. If all production and trade are assumed to occur in a ...

Article history: Received 1 April 2010 Received in revised form 3 August 2011 Accepted 4 August 2011 Available online 11 August 2011 This paper uses a tri-variate structural VAR with a long-run identification scheme, akin to the Blanchard and Quah method, to identify external and domestic supply and demand shocks in 22 African countries between 1980 and 2005. Domestic supply shocks are found to...

The purpose of this paper is to implement theoretically, the observation that the relative importance of fundamental versus technical analysis in the foreign exchange market depends on the time horizon in currency trade. For shorter time horizons, more weight is placed on technical analysis, while more weight is placed on fundamental analysis for longer horizons. The theoretical framework is th...

One of the explanations for global imbalances is the self-financing behavior of credit-constrained firms in rapidly growing emerging markets. We use an extensive firm-level data set from several Asian countries during 2002–2011, and test the micro foundation of this theory by estimating the effect of an exogenous change in credit constraints, resulting from financial reforms, on firms’ saving b...

Currency crises that coincide with banking crises tend to share at least three elements. First, banks have a currency mismatch between their assets and liabilities. Second, banks do not completely hedge the associated exchange rate risk. Third, there are implicit government guarantees to banks and their foreign creditors. This paper argues that the "rst two features arise from banks' optimal re...

K99 fimbriae of enterotoxigenic Escherichia coli consist of eight different subunits. A major subunit called fimbrillin forms fimbrial structure and a minor subunit called adhesin localizes at the tip of fimbriae and recognizes host receptor ganglioside. Within this eight gene cluster, fanE and fanF have not yet been sequenced. In this study, fanE and fanF genes were sequenced by analyzing seve...

The paper examines government spending that is financed by taxes that distort output and by the inflation tax. High inflation and low output are the consequence of fiscal ambitions that exceed the current capacity of the economy to support. Supply-side growth alleviates this tension, allowing lower inflation, lower tax distortions, and higher output. In the presence of commitment problems, reso...

This paper explains why public domestic debt composition in emerging economies can be risky, namely in foreign currency, with a short maturity or indexed. It analyses empirically the determinants of these risk sources separately, developing a new large dataset compiled from national sources for 33 emerging economies over 1994-2006. The paper finds that economic size, the breadth of the domestic...

This paper considers the main elements of the standard pattern of fi nancial liberalization that has become widely prevalent in developing countries. The theoretical arguments in favour of such liberalization are considered and critiqued, and the political economy of such measures is discussed. The problems for developing countries, with respect to fi nancial fragility and the greater propensit...