the purpose of this research is investigation of application of the arbitrage pricing theory and effect of unanticipated changes in a set of macroeconomic variables such as inflation rate, money supply, exchange rate, oil price, term structure and industrial production on expected security return in tehran stock exchange. in this research, data are analyzed quarterly for the period of 1997-2008...

This paper investigates the determinants of the dynamic equity-commodity return correlations between five commodity futures sub-sectors (i.e. energy, foods and fibers, grains and oilseeds, livestock, and precious metals) and two equity market indices (i.e. S&P 500 and Russell 3000). We employ the DCC model, as well as three time-varying copulas: (i) the normal copula, (ii) the student’s t copul...

Basel III is a recently-agreed regulatory standard for bank capital adequacy with focus on the macroprudential dimension of banking regulation, i.e., the system-wide implications of banks’ lending and risk. An important Basel III provision is to reduce procyclicality of present banking regulation and promote countercyclical capital buffers for banks. The Eurace agent-based macroeconomic model a...

We construct a dynamic panel error correction model of the Australian labour market using macroeconomic data across seven states and 27 years. Using panel cointegration tests, and fully modified OLS estimates, we test 3 competing long run hypotheses: real wage-productivity relation; real wage-marginal disutility relation; and the wage curve hypothesis. We find evidence to prefer the first. The ...

Macroeconometricians face a peculiar data structure. On the one hand, the number of years for which there is reliable and relevant data is limited and cannot readily be increased other than by the passage of time. On the other hand, for much of the postwar period statistical agencies have collected monthly or quarterly data on a great many related macroeconomic, financial, and sectoral variable...

the purpose of this study is to examine the dynamic effects of some macroeconomic variables: money stock, gross domestic product, consumer price index and exchange rates on determining housing price index behavior in iran using the error correction model. using seasonal data, the model is estimated by johansen-juselius cointegration approach during 1990-2007. the results reveal that all variabl...

While firm-level capital growth rates exhibit positive spikes, and rise as fast as they fall, the average capital growth rate across firms exhibits negative spikes, and declines faster than it recovers. We develop a dynamic model of investment that reconciles these empirical patterns. The model features costly reversibility, cyclical macroeconomic shocks, and uncertainty about the state of the ...