This work presents a comprehensive second-order predictive modeling (PM) methodology designated by the acronym 2nd-BERRU-PMD. The attribute “2nd” indicates that this incorporates uncertainties (means and covariances) sensitivities of computed model responses to parameters. BERRU stands for “Best- Estimate Results with Reduced Uncertainties” last letter (“D”) in “deterministic,” referring determ...

This work presents a comprehensive second-order predictive modeling (PM) methodology based on the maximum entropy (MaxEnt) principle for obtaining best-estimate mean values and correlations model responses parameters. is designated by acronym 2nd-BERRU-PMP, where attribute “2nd” indicates that this incorporates second- order uncertainties (means covariances) second (and higher) sensitivities of...