1. introduction one of the six great challenges recognized by the world climate researches program (wcrp) is the prediction and the characteristics of extreme events. the outcomes of various sources indicate that the extreme climate events have significantly increased over the last decades. trend analysis of extreme temperature indicators is of crucial importance in estimating the trend of glob...

The objective of this paper is to describe the process through which climate change scenarios were downscaled in an urban land use model and the results of this experimentation. The land use models (Urban Growth Model [UGM] and the Land Cover Deltatron Model [LCDM]) utilized in the project are part of the SLEUTH program which uses a probabilistic cellular automata protocol. The land use change ...

agricultural sector will be most affected by climate change due to its extensive interaction with the environment. and as a result of changing production conditions, community welfare is changed. this study attempted at understanding the welfare effects of changes in climate parameters on the wheat product. therefore, the yield functions were initially estimated. supply, demand and import funct...

Socio-economic scenarios constitute an important tool for exploring the long-term consequences of anthropogenic climate change and available response options. They have been applied for different purposes and to a different degree in various areas of climate change analysis, typically in combination with projections of future climate change. Integrated assessment modeling (IAM) has used them to...

Increased concern over climate change is demonstrated by the many efforts to assess climate effects and develop adaptation strategies. Scientists, resource managers, and decision makers are increasingly expected to use climate information, but they struggle with its uncertainty. With the current proliferation of climate simulations and downscaling methods, scientifically credible strategies for...