Regulatory authorities demand insurance companies to control the risks by imposing stringent risk management policies. This article investigates the insurance company’s optimal risk management strategy subject to regulator’s risk measure constraints. We first design the optimal reinsurance contracts under different tail risk measures. Then we analyze the impact of the regulators’ requirements o...

Real-life decisions are usually made in the state of uncertainty or risk. In this article we present the risk measuring techniques value at risk (VaR) and tail value at risk (TVaR) under uncertainty. Firstly, we introduce the VaR concept of uncertain variable based on uncertainty theory and examine its fundamental properties. Then, the TVaR concept is evolved and some fundamental properties of ...

Tail conditional expectations refer to the expected values of random variables conditioning on some tail events and are closely related to various coherent risk measures. In the univariate case, the tail conditional expectation is asymptotically proportional to the value-at-risk, a popular risk measure. The focus of this paper is on asymptotic relations between the multivariate tail conditional...

Abstract: In this paper, we consider compositions of conditional risk measures in order to obtain time-consistent dynamic risk measures and determine the solvency capital of a life insurer selling pension liabilities or a pension fund with a single cash-flow at maturity. We first recall the notion of conditional, dynamic and time-consistent risk measures. We link the latter with its iterated pr...

Value at Risk (VaR) has emerged in recent years as a standard tool to measure and control the risk of trading portfolios. Yet, existing theoretical analyses of the optimal behavior of a trader subject to VaR limits have produced a negative view of VaR as a risk-control tool. In particular, VaR limits have been found to induce increased risk exposure in some states and an increased probability o...

We explore generalizations of the pari-mutuel model (PMM), a formalization of an intuitive way of assessing an upper probability from a precise one. We discuss a naive extension of the PMM considered in insurance, compare the PMM with a related model, the Total Variation Model, and generalize the natural extension of the PMM introduced by P. Walley and other pertained formulae. The results are ...

The implementation of appropriate statistical techniques for monitoring conditional VaR models, i.e, backtesting, reported by institutions is fundamental to determine their exposure to market risk. Backtesting techniques are important since the severity of the departures of the VaR model from market results determine the penalties imposed for inadequate VaR models. In this paper we make six con...

K e y w o r d s: Family of Sign RCA Models, Value at Risk, backtesting, loss function.