Daily values of forecast scores are evaluated for the students in a weather analysis and forecasting class (ATMS 452) offered by the Department of Atmospheric Sciences of the University of Washington during the spring terms of 1997 through 2007. The objective of this study is to determine the rate at which senior-level undergraduate students develop proficiency at short-term (next-day) weather ...

On demand resource forecasting in cloud computing is an crucial guarantee for achieving effective management of all virtualized resources and reducing data center energy consumption. According to single forecasting model cannot integrate all the valid information which leads to the decline in prediction accuracy. This paper proposed an optimal combination prediction model for cloud computing re...

This study proposes using a random forest model for short-term electricity load forecasting. This is an ensemble learning method that generates many regression trees (CART) and aggregates their results. The model operates on patterns of the time series seasonal cycles which simplifies the forecasting problem especially when a time series exhibits nonstationarity, heteroscedasticity, trend and m...

Robust versions of the exponential and Holt–Winters smoothing method for forecasting are presented. They are suitable for forecasting univariate time series in the presence of outliers. The robust exponential and Holt–Winters smoothing methods are presented as recursive updating schemes that apply the standard technique to pre-cleaned data. Both the update equation and the selection of the smoo...

This thesis explores derived parameter optimization technique to optimize the performance of forecasting models. This study presents artificial neural network (ANN) based computational approach for predicting the stock market trend of companies from five different sectors such as:IT Sector (Infosys), Banking Sector (SBI), Consumer Goods Sector (Tata Motors), Industrial Goods Sector (BHEL) and B...

In a competitive market environment, supply chain management (SCM) has been critical for companies to survive. Demand planning plays an important role in SCM, for it provides accurate demand forecasts which may achieve customer satisfaction by offering benefits such as low inventory level, short lead time, efficient resource allocation, and quick response. To obtain more accurate forecasts, thi...

In supply chains, forecasting is an important determinant of operational performance, although there have been few studies that have selected forecasting methods on that basis. This paper is a case study of forecasting method selection for a global manufacturer of lubricants and fuel additives, products usually classified as specialty chemicals. We model the supply chain using actual demand dat...

Traffic flow forecasting has been regarded as a key problem of intelligent transport systems. In this work, we propose a hybrid multimodal deep learning method for short-term traffic flow forecasting, which jointly learns the spatial-temporal correlation features and interdependence of multi-modality traffic data by multimodal deep learning architecture. According to the highly nonlinear charac...

This paper proposes the deterministic generation of auxiliary variables, which outline the seasonal, cyclic and trend components of the time series associated with tourism demand for the machine learning models. To test the contribution of the deterministically generated auxiliary variables, we have employed multilayer perceptron (MLP) regression, and support vector regression (SVR) models, whi...

This paper picturesquely depicts the comparison of different methodologies adopted for predicting the load demand and highlights the changing trend and values under new circumstances using latest non analytical soft computing techniques employed in the field of electrical load forecasting. A very clear advocacy about the changing trends from conventional and obsolete to the modern techniques is...