Conventional shale gas productivity prediction techniques consider fracture conductivity to be a fixed value, but in actual production processes, changes with time. Therefore, this paper proposed capacity method that considers time-dependent and validates its accuracy using commercial simulators. First, relevant parameters were obtained by fitting the improved long-term test, then seepage model...

Seismicity models are probabilistic forecasts of earthquake rates to support seismic hazard assessment. Physics-based allow extrapolating previously unsampled parameter ranges and enable conclusions on underlying tectonic or human-induced processes. The Coulomb Failure (CF) the rate-and-state (RS) two widely used physics-based seismicity both assuming pre-existing populations faults responding ...