the goal of this research is to predict total stock market index of tehran stock exchange, using the compound method of arima and neural network in order for the active participations of finance market as well as macro decision makers to be able to predict trend of the market. first, the series of price index was decomposed by wavelet transform, then the smooth's series  predicted by using...

In this study, a vector autoregression (VAR) model with time-varying parameters (TVP) to predict the daily Indian rupee (INR)/US dollar (USD) exchange rates for the Indian economy is developed. The method is based on characterization of the TVP as an optimal control problem. The methodology is a blend of the flexible least squares and Kalman filter techniques. The out-of-sample forecasting perf...

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This paper outlines the practical steps which need to be undertaken to use autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) time series models for forecasting Irish inflation. A framework for ARIMA forecasting is drawn up. It considers two alternative approaches to the issue of identifying ARIMA models the Box Jenkins approach and the objective penalty function methods. The emphasis is on forec...