نتایج جستجو برای: stock return
تعداد نتایج: 163537 فیلتر نتایج به سال:
abstract t he return of capital is fundamental to the intertemporal allocation of resources by changing the consumption behavior and capital accumulation over time. taxation on return of capital increases the marginal product of capital, meaning that capital stock is lower than when capital is not taxed, which results decreased growth and welfare in steady state. this paper studies the impact o...
The goal of this article is an estimate of the objective forward-looking U.S. equity risk premium relative to bonds through history—specifically, since 1802. For correct evaluation, such a complex topic requires several careful steps: To gauge the risk premium for stocks relative to bonds, we need an expected real stock return and an expected real bond return. To gauge the expected real bond re...
We analyze the performance of retail firms for the period 1978-97 using public financial data. Our performance measures are long-term stock returns and whether the firm filed for bankruptcy in the period of study. We assume that over a long time period of at least five years, stock returns are a reasonable measure of the overall success of a firm. We have found a very wide disparity in performa...
In this paper we provide empirical findings on the significance of positive feedback trading for the return behavior in the German stock market. Relying on the ShillerSentana-Wadhwani model, we use the link between index return auto-correlation and volatility to obtain a better understanding into the return characteristics generated by traders adhering to positive feedback trading strategies. O...
Being able to quantify the probability of large price changes in stock markets is of crucial importance in understanding financial crises that affect the lives of people worldwide. Large changes in stock market prices can arise abruptly, within a matter of minutes, or develop across much longer time scales. Here, we analyze a dataset comprising the stocks forming the Dow Jones Industrial Averag...
Stock return distribution in the BRICS. Access to the published version may require subscription. Abstract Stock returns in emerging market economies exhibit patterns that are distinctively different from developed countries: returns are noted to be highly volatile and autocorrelated, and long horizon returns are predictable. While these stylized facts are well established, the assumption under...
We examine predictive return regressions from a new angle. We ask what observable univariate properties of returns tell us about the “predictive space” that defines the true predictive model: the triplet ¡ λ,R2 x, ρ ¢ , where λ is the predictor’s persistence, R2 x is the predictive R-squared, and ρ is the "Stambaugh Correlation" (between innovations in the predictive system). When returns are n...
the purpose of this research is investigation of application of the arbitrage pricing theory and effect of unanticipated changes in a set of macroeconomic variables such as inflation rate, money supply, exchange rate, oil price, term structure and industrial production on expected security return in tehran stock exchange. in this research, data are analyzed quarterly for the period of 1997-2008...
This paper discusses the shape of the stock return distribution using the all shares index of Helsinki Stock Exchange. Non-parametric kernel density estimation and power exponential family of distributions are used to model the shape of the return distribution. The parameters of power exponential distribution are estimated with Bayesian approach. The findings suggest that the shape of the distr...
Given two virtually separate literatures on return predictability and the risk-return relation, this paper reconciles the two literatures by investigating the underlying mechanism of the return predictability literature through exploiting the risk-return relation. In developing an empirical model to examine the business cycles-risk-return relationship, we consider the fact that market volatilit...
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