We present a general algorithm for computing the limit, as 5 -> 1, of the set of payoffs of perfect public equilibria of repeated games with long-run and shortrun players, allowing for the possibility that the players' actions are not observable by their opponents. We illustrate the algorithm with two economic examples. In a simple partnership we show how to compute the equilibrium payoffs when...

In this paper, the effects of oil and gold prices on stock market index are investigated. We use a cointegrated vector autoregressive Markov-switching model to examine the nonlinear properties of these three variables during the period of January 2003 - December 2014. The Markov-switching vector-equilibrium-correction model with three regimes representing "deep recession", "mild recession" and ...

Many social commentators have raised concerns over the possibility that increased sorting in society can lead to greater inequality. To investigate this, we construct a dynamic model of intergenerational education acquisition, fertility and marital sorting and parameterize the steady state to match several basic empirical ...ndings. We ...nd that increased marital sorting will signi...cantly in...

Financial intermediation in Iran's banking system is negatively affected at least in two ways. First, there are many similarities between financial intermediation and usurious activities in the common interpretation of interest-free banking law. This encourages the banks to participate in various commercial activities. Second, the price setting policies of the central bank makes investment more...

introduction: agriculture as one of old sectors of economy has been important role in the supply food for peoples and raw materials. globalization causes rapid growth of world trade and reduces information and communications costs. globalization and rapid growth of trade increases the potential benefits of trade for agriculture from various aspects. the potential benefits of trade for agricultu...

Uncertainty appears to have both a short-run and a long-run component, which we measure using firm and macro implied volatility data from 30 days to 10 years duration. Examining a panel of over 4,000 firms from 1996 to 2013 we find that investment is significantly more sensitive to long-run uncertainty, while employment responds equally to shortand long-run uncertainty. We build a model to inve...

The study of determining the factors affecting inflation or consumer price index has been conducted by many macroeconomic economists nationally as well as internationally. In this paper, we assess the external determinants of inflation dynamics in Iran. For this purpose, we use an OLS single equation model and a vector error correction model (VECM). Results of the analysis reveal that money sup...

A central challenge in asset pricing is the weak connection between stock returns and observable economic fundamentals. We provide evidence that this connection is stronger than previously thought. We use a modified version of the Bry-Boschan algorithm to identify long-run swings in the stock market. We call these swings long-run bull and bear episodes. We find that there is a high correlation ...