نتایج جستجو برای: mcmc

تعداد نتایج: 4784  

Journal: :Statistical Science 2022

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods have not been broadly adopted in Bayesian neural networks (BNNs). This paper initially reviews the main challenges sampling from parameter posterior of a network via MCMC. Such culminate to lack convergence posterior. Nevertheless, this shows that nonconverged chain, generated MCMC space network, can yield marginalization valuable predictive distribution ...

Journal: :Water Resources Research 2021

In geostatistics, Gaussian random fields are often used to model heterogeneities of soil or subsurface parameters. To give spatial approximations these fields, they discretized. Then, different techniques geostatistical inversion condition them on measurement data. Among techniques, Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) stand out, because yield asymptotically unbiased conditional realizations. Howeve...

Journal: :Communications in Statistics - Simulation and Computation 2014

2006
S. K. Au

This paper presents the reliability analysis of three benchmark problems using three variants of Subset Simulation. The original version of Subset Simulation, SubSim/MCMC, employs a Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method to simulate samples conditional on intermediate failure events; it is a general method that is applicable to all the benchmark problems. SubSim/Splitting is a variant of Subset...

2007
Yuming Liu Matthew Schulz Lei Yu

A Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method and a bootstrap method were compared in the estimation of standard errors of item response theory (IRT) true score equating. Three test form relationships were examined: parallel, tauequivalent, and congeneric. Data were simulated based on Reading Comprehension and Vocabulary tests of the Iowa Tests of Basic Skills1. For parallel and congeneric test form...

2008
Asger HOBOLTH Asger Hobolth A. HOBOLTH

The evolution of DNA sequences can be described by discrete state continuous time Markov processes on a phylogenetic tree. We consider neighbor-dependent evolutionary models where the instantaneous rate of substitution at a site depends on the states of the neighboring sites. Neighbor-dependent substitution models are analytically intractable and must be analyzed using either approximate or sim...

Journal: :CoRR 2017
Yingzhen Li Richard E. Turner Qiang Liu

We propose a novel approximate inference framework that approximates a target distribution by amortising the dynamics of a user-selected Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampler. The idea is to initialise MCMC using samples from an approximation network, apply the MCMC operator to improve these samples, and finally use the samples to update the approximation network thereby improving its quality...

2017
Radu Herbei Rajib Paul L Mark Berliner

We examine the performance of a strategy for Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) developed by simulating a discrete approximation to a stochastic differential equation (SDE). We refer to the approach as diffusion MCMC. A variety of motivations for the approach are reviewed in the context of Bayesian analysis. In particular, implementation of diffusion MCMC is very simple to set-up, even in the pres...

2007
Rasmus Waagepetersen

These notes are intended to provide the reader with knowledge of basic concepts of Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) and hopefully also some intuition about how MCMC works. For more thorough accounts of MCMC the reader is referred to e.g. Gilks et al. (1996), Gamerman (1997), or Robert and Casella (1999). Suppose that we are interested in generating samples from a target probability distribution ...

2014
Jinyoung Yang Jeffrey S. Rosenthal

Adaptive Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms attempt to ‘learn’ from the results of past iterations so the Markov chain can converge quicker. Unfortunately, adaptive MCMC algorithms are no longer Markovian, so their convergence is difficult to guarantee. In this paper, we develop new diagnostics to determine whether the adaption is still improving the convergence. We present an algorithm...

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