Abstract. We prove two conjectures from [DSZ2, DSZ3] concerning the expected number of critical points of random holomorphic sections of a positive line bundle. We show that, on average, the critical points of minimal Morse index are the most plentiful for holomorphic sections of O(N) → CPm and, in an asymptotic sense, for those of line bundles over general Kähler manifolds. We calculate the ex...