We develop a behavioral exchange rate model with chartists and fundamentalists to study cyclical behavior in foreign exchange markets. Within our model, the market impact of fundamentalists depends on the strength of their belief in fundamental analysis. Estimation of a STAR GARCH model shows that the more the exchange rate deviates from its fundamental value, the more fundamentalists leave the...

The changes in the capital market bring transformation in the entire economy of the country. The boom and depression of the capital market is reflected in all sectors of the economy. Stock price downward movement continuously in the market forewarns the crisis period in advance. Numerous studies were conducted to trace the movement of stock market and its relationship with various economic fact...