Abstract This paper applies a new approach to the identification of discourses, based on Multiple Correspondence Analysis (MCA), study discourse variation over time. The MCA keywords deals with major issue use identify discourses: allocation individual multiple discourses. Yet, as this demonstrates, also allows us observe in prevalence discourses texts patterns keyword co-occurrence. Metadata c...

This paper is the first to use a state-preference pricing approach with BlackScholes analytic second derivatives to develop a forward-looking volatility index (FIX), as a forecast of the next 30-day market risk-neutral volatility. Using S&P 500 index (SPX) option prices from 1996 to 2010, we find that FIX is 99% correlated with the current CBOE volatility index (VIX) and it is a better estimato...

This paper presents an effective way of combining two popular, yet distinct approaches used in the hedging literature – dynamic programming (DP) and time-series (GARCH) econometrics. Theoretically consistent yet realistic and tractable models are developed for traders interested in hedging a portfolio. Results from a bootstrapping experiment used to construct confidence bands around the competi...

By extending the GARCH option pricing model of Duan (1995) to more exible volatility estimation it is shown that the prices of out-of-the-money options strongly depend on volatility features such as asymmetry. Results are provided for the properties of the stationary pricing distribution in the case of a threshold GARCH model. For a stock index series with a pronounced leverage eeect, simulated...

We perform Markov chain Monte Carlo simulations for a Bayesian inference of the GJR-GARCH model which is one of asymmetric GARCH models. The adaptive construction scheme is used for the construction of the proposal density in the Metropolis-Hastings algorithm and the parameters of the proposal density are determined adaptively by using the data sampled by the Markov chain Monte Carlo simulation...

Wepropose a novel, simple, efficient and distribution-free re-sampling technique for developing prediction intervals for returns and volatilities following ARCH/GARCH models. In particular, our key idea is to employ a Box-Jenkins linear representation of an ARCH/GARCH equation and then to adapt a sieve bootstrap procedure to the non-linear GARCH framework. Our simulation studies indicate that t...

Authors are requested to select key words from the following list. You may use plurals and adjectives for combinations like absolute pupillary response, centrifugal optic nerve, inter blobs, etc. If key words are needed which do not appear in this list, please underline them. For animal classification the Latin nomenclature should be used. p-mechanism A-scan a-wave aberration absolute absorptio...

We present a general framework for a GARCH (1,1) type of process with innovations using a probability law of the mean-variance mixing type. We call the process the mean variance mixing GARCH (1,1) or MVM GARCH (1,1). One implication of this particular specification is a GARCH process with skewed innovations and constant mean dynamics. This is achieved without using a location parameter to compe...