In this paper we provide new evidence about the relationship between financial crises and economic situation for different countries which belong to the OECD and emergent economies of Latin America and Asia. The results show new support to the different influence of economic situation according to the type of financial crises. Aggregate data and panel techniques are used taking into account the...

Over the past two decades, financial market crises with similar features have occurred in different regions of the world. Unstable cross-market linkages during financial crises are referred to as financial contagion. We simulate the transmission of financial crises in the context of a model of market participants adopting various strategies; this allows testing for financial contagion under alt...

Recent strong growth of China’s exports has elevated the country to a rising global economic power and caused geo-political concern to policy-makers in the country and its trading partners world-wide. What are the determinants of this growth, how has it affected major economies in ASEAN (World Bank, 2009) in particular, and what kind of evidence-based responses are required and appropriate? The...

Political intervention into markets can take a nearly endless number of forms. During the latter part of the twentieth century, there was a widely shared sense that governments should decrease their role in the economy. Still, there were important variations in this trend. In response to onerous banking crises, countries chose policies that varied dramatically between rescuing insolvent banks (...

Early warning systems (EWSs) are subject to restrictions that apply to exchange rates in general: fundamentals matter but their influence is small and unstable. Despite this limitation four major lessons emerge: First, EWSs have robust forecasting power and thus help policy-makers to prevent crises. Second, policy-makers must decide about some EWSs' elements, such as the sensitivity of the fore...

It is well known that equity, currency, or banking crises generate substantial real costs for the country in which they occur. Authorities and financial market participants have often been concerned that these crises would spill over or spread, leading to financial system volatility or crises elsewhere in the world. The recent Mexican, Asian, and Russian crises are examples where shocks origina...

This paper examines the question of whether pegging exchange rates is a good strategy for emergingmarket countries. Although pegging the exchange rate provides a nominal anchor for emerging market countries that can help them to control inflation, the analysis in this paper does not provide support for this strategy for the conduct of monetary policy. First there are the usual criticisms of exc...

The Basel III regulation explicitly prescribes the use of Hodrick-Prescott filters to estimate credit cycles and calibrate countercyclical capital buffers. However, filter has been found suffer from large ex-post revisions, raising concerns over its fitness for policy use. To investigate this problem, we studied a panel 26 countries between 1971 2018. We reached two conclusions. bad news is tha...