We compute the posterior distributions of the initial population and parameter of binary branching processes, in the limit of a large number of generations. We compare this Bayesian procedure with a more näıve one, based on hitting times of some random walks. In both cases, central limit theorems are available, with explicit variances.

This research was designed to look at World English textbook evaluation and its effects on EFL pre-intermediate Iranian learners' speaking skill. Thirty male students were selected randomly in Eshtehard language school. They took a pre-test as a proficiency test first to determine their proficiency. To gain this aim, a language proficiency test, i.e., Nelson test was given to the total particip...

Experimentation is a powerful methodology that enables scientists to empirically establish causal claims. However, one important criticism is that experiments merely provide a black-box view of causality and fail to identify causal mechanisms. Specifically, critics argue that although experiments can identify average causal effects, they cannot explain the process through which such effects com...

purpose of this study was comparison of efficacy of child parent relationship therapy and positive parenting on decreasing of symptoms of anxiety and depression of children and maternal efficacy. research design of this study was semi-experimental research with a pre/post-test design and control group. among all of the school children who have 7 and 8 aged in isfahan city in the 2011-2012 schoo...

there have been many productive methods developed so far for optimization of multiple response surface (mrs) problems. this paper tends to review the most seminal approaches in mrs and discuss the strength and weakness of each of the approaches through existing aspects in mrs. a numerical example is included to compare results by different methods. finally some of the prominent areas for future...

the taguchi design of experiments was used to test the relative importance of medium components and environmental factors on poly(β-hydroxybutyrate)(phb) production by ralstonia eutropha. the optimum condition was obtained as: fructose concentration, 15 g/l; c/n ratio, 7.4; agitation speed 200 rpm; culture time, 40 h; temperature, 25 ° c; seed age, 15 h. at optimum condition the yield of phb pr...

in this work, boehmite sol was prepared by a previously applied and validated method; hydrolysis of aluminum chloride hexa-hydrate. in order to obtain precise results, the effect of ph after adding precipitating agent, aging time, peptizing temperature and ultrasonic vibration time on the crystallite size of final precipitate were investigated in a narrow range. the preparation conditions appli...