This study explores the effects of increased economic policy uncertainty (EPU) in both importing and exporting countries on manufacturing value-added exports. The results show that EPU would result decreases trade flows, negative effect exporters' is larger than importers' EPU. Our also provide evidence influence channels: affects flows primarily through cost to export, while market demand. con...

This paper investigates the relation between Treasury futures market volatility and economic policy uncertainty using GARCH-MIDAS. We formulated models with realized of futures, level uncertainty. find that play a significant role in dynamics long-run markets China United States.

This paper uses the economic policy uncertainty and total import volume of 20 countries including United States China European Union from 2007 to 2021 related data, a fixed-effect model study impact on trade. The results show that internal significantly inhibits trade, while global has no significant Maintaining good international relations with other avoiding trade frictions is Sensible way pr...

High levels of economic policy uncertainty (EPU) in various parts the world revamped debate about its impact on activity. Employing heterogeneous panel structural vector autoregressions, we test for EPU spillovers other countries’ reduces growth real output, private consumption, and investment, with from abroad accounting two-thirds effect. Using local projections, show that surges United State...

open-pit production scheduling (opps) problem focuses on determining a block sequencing and scheduling to maximize net present value (npv) of the venture under constraints. the scheduling model is critically sensitive to the economic value volatility of block, block weight, and operational capacity. in order to deal with the opps uncertainties, various approaches can be recommended. robust opti...

This study investigates recent determinants of revenue in North America’s four major professional sports leagues. Estimates reveal that revenue is positively associated with winning in baseball (MLB), basketball (NBA), and hockey (NHL), but not in football (NFL). The returns to winning are not diminishing as commonly assumed, which casts doubt on the uncertainty of outcome hypothesis, and diffe...

This paper develops a dynamic model of Rational Partisan Business Cycles, wherein wage contracts overlap elections and wage setters have to make a prediction about the election result. Uncertainty leads to preand post-election date output fluctuations. Election result probabilities are imputed and then used to construct variables in electoral uncertainty. Using data from 20 OECD countries over ...