A new method of system evaluation that focuses on the impact the system has on a data series that served as the rationale for systems implementation was designed and modeled by the authors. Called outcome-based evaluation, this method is founded on the concept of intervention analysis and employs interrupted time series designs to determine the impact of an information system on specific organi...

The establishment of Christmas tree plantations over the last 50 years in Greece has provided an additional income for the inhabitants of certain mountainous and semi-mountainous regions of the country and contributed to their development. In this paper is used a neural network which combined with ARIMA which makes forecast of number of actually cut Christmas trees until the year 2015.

Time series intervent.ion analysis is used to ascertain the impact that one or more interventions have on a time series. For example, the t.ime series may be monthly revenues from the sale of n product with t,he int.ervention being the implementation of a new marketing strategy. Using the ARIMA procedure in SASjETS@ soft.ware, a large class of time series models are available to pel'form a t.im...

This paper tackles the problem of robust change detection in image sequences from static cameras. Motion cues are detected using frame differencing with an adaptive background estimation modelled by a mixture of Gaussians. Illumination invariance and elimination or detection of shadows is achieved by using a colour chromaticity representation of the image data. The combination of the colourand ...

This paper analyses persistence in US interest rates. It focuses on the Federal Funds effective rate, whose degree of persistence is modelled using fractional integration, monthly from July 1954 through March 2008. The full-sample estimates of the fractional differencing parameter appear to be very sensitive to the choice of the I(0) error term; specifically, the order of integration is strictl...

A tiie-differencing scheme consisting of an initializing step and N repetitions of a set of steps is proposed. For linear equations, the scheme is of Nth order. It is easily programmed and uses a minimal amount of storage space. The order may be changed by changing one parameter. An improved scheme is of Nth order even for nonlinear equations , for N 54.

This paper analyzes U.S. university press datasets (2001-2007) to determine net publishers’ revenues and net publishers’ units, the major markets and channels of distribution (libraries and institutions; college adoptions; and general retailer sales) that these presses relied on, and the intense competition these presses confronted from commercial scholarly, trade, and college textbook publishe...

In this paper we present a simple yet effective temporal differencing based moving region detection scheme which can be used in limited resource condition such as in ad-hoc sensor network. Our objective is to achieve realtime detection in these low-end image sensor nodes. By double-threshold temporal differencing we can exclude the effect of global motion as well as detect the real motion regio...

Morehead City, North Carolina, faced a moratorium on new construction because of problems with its sewage system. We developed an autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) transfer function-intervention model to help town officials explain the sources of variation in the volume of sewage-treatment-plant discharge to the state officials who had imposed the moratorium on extending the sewa...