We establish asymptotic normality and consistency for rank-based estimators of autoregressive-moving average model parameters. The estimators are obtained by minimizing a rank-based residual dispersion function similar to the one given in L.A. Jaeckel [Estimating regression coefficients by minimizing the dispersion of the residuals, Ann. Math. Statist. 43 (1972) 1449–1458]. These estimators can...

Learning with expert advice as a scheme of on-line learning has been very successfully applied to various learning problems due to its strong theoretical basis. In this paper, for the purpose of times series prediction, we investigate the application of Aggregation Algorithm, which a generalisation of the famous weighted majority algorithm. The results of the experiments done, show that the Agg...

in this paper, we propose a new residual analysis method using fourier series transform into fuzzy time series model for improving the forecasting performance. this hybrid model takes advantage of the high predictable power of fuzzy time series model and fourier series transform to fit the estimated residuals into frequency spectra, select the low-frequency terms, filter out high-frequency term...

Time series measurements are often observed with data irregularities, such as censoring due to a detection limit. Practitioners commonly disregard censored data cases which often result into biased estimates. We present an attractive remedy for handling autocorrelated censored data based on a class of autoregressive and moving average (ARMA) models. In particular, we introduce an imputation met...

,4bstme—A pmeedurefor sequentiaffy eatirnating the parameters and orders of mixed autoregmsive moving-average signaf modefs from tirneserfes data is presented. Iderrtfffftion ia performed by first fderstffying a purely asrtoregmwive aignaf model. Tire parametem and orders of tbe mixed autoregmsaive moving-average proeeaa are then gfven from tbe solutton of sfmple sdgebraic equations involving t...

Background Road traffic accidents and their related deaths have become a major concern, particularly in developing countries. Iran has adopted a series of policies and interventions to control the high number of accidents occurring over the past few years. In this study we used a time series model to understand the trend of accidents, and ascertain the viability of applying ARIMA models on data...

In this paper, we have examined the effect of climate variables on the yield average and variability of major grain crops (rice, maize, and wheat) in Iran from 1983 to 2014. For this purpose, we made use of the Just and Pope Production Function crop yields panel data. The results revealed that the influences of climate variables were different in the crops. The time trend positively influenced ...

Abstract – Various problems in physics and engineering lead to the problem of runlength probability distribution function (pdf) in a finite time series. In this study to find the pdf of run-lengths in such a series, first infinite sequence properties are reviewed and then finite series run length pdf is derived on the basis of simple set theory. This paper presents the derivation of exact run l...

temperature and precipitation are among important atmospheric parameters for watershed planning. assessment of temperature and precipitation trends is very important for future watershed planning. in this paper, trends of atmospheric parameters such as seasonal and annual temperature and precipitation were examined for the synoptic stations of bandar anzali, rasht, ramsar, babolsar and gorgan. ...

Sea cucumber catch has followed “boom-and-bust” patterns over the period of 60 years from 1950-2010, and sea cucumber fisheries have had important ecological, economic and societal roles. However, sea cucumber fisheries have not been explored systematically, especially in terms of catch change trends. Sea cucumbers are relatively sedentary species. An attempt was made to explore whether the tim...