Modern methods of quantitative risk analysis, specifically value-at-risk and expected shortfall approach, provide comprehensive and coherent risk evaluation throughout entire distribution of outcomes and can take agricultural business from the realm of uncertainty to specific, quantified risks. Monte Carlo simulation with autocorrelation of standard deviation shows the best results in risk mode...

[1] The export of nitrate by the Mississippi River to the Gulf of Mexico has tripled since the 1950s primarily due to an increase in agricultural fertilizer application and hydrological changes. Here we have adapted two physically based models, the Integrated Biosphere Simulator (IBIS) terrestrial ecosystem model and the Hydrological Routing Algorithm (HYDRA) hydrological transport model, to si...

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The Nineteenth National Congress of the Communist Party China put forward implementation a rural revitalization strategy, which is an important way to achieve common prosperity for all people, as promoting farmers’ income increase and narrowing urban–rural gap are key prosperity. So, under background vigorously strategy in China, it very explore effect realization mechanism geographical indicat...

Communicated by Craig Stow The Bay of Quinte, a Z-shaped embayment at the northeastern end of Lake Ontario, represents a characteristic case of an area of concern (AOC)where scientific uncertainty underliesmanagement efforts to address eutrophication problems. The present study attempts to examine the relationships between total phosphorus (TP) (i.e., concentrations from point and non-point sou...