This paper applies the hybrid dynamic general-equilibrium, vector autoregressive (DGE-VAR) model developed by Ireland (1999) to Canadian time series. It presents the first Canadian evidence that a hybrid DGE-VAR model may have better out-of-sample forecasting accuracy than a simple, structure-free VAR model. The evidence suggests that estimated DGE models have the potential to add good forecast...

â â â  â â â â â  the aim of this paper is to simulate the effects of some macroeconomic policy tools on production and inflation of iran by the current worldwide financial and real crisis. the theoretical framework of the analysis is based on the so-called ‘imf/world bank integrated model’ which is the synthesis (a merger) of the basic monetary approach of the balance of payments used at t...

Western societies can reduce avoidable mortality and morbidity by better understanding the relationship between obesity and chronic disease. This paper examines the joint determinants of obesity and of heart disease, diabetes, hypertension, and elevated cholesterol. It analyzes a broadly representative Spanish dataset, the 1999 Survey on Disabilities, Impairments and Health Status, using a heal...

The main objective of this paper is to analyze if the classification of countries provided by World Bank (WB) can be reconstructed with a linear and/or integer programming model called Multi-Group Hierarchical Discrimination if only data published by WB are used. WB has a public database of countries containing economical-financial and political factors. The parameters of the model have been de...

following changes in economic fields, monetary transmission mechanism has been equipped with different approaches. for example, introducing and then applying the first draft of basel committee’s capital requirement has portrayed new horizon in the monetary transmission mechanism discussions. while as the first step, it has been emphasized on the static role of bank’s capital; as the second step...

In this paper we study dollarization as a commitment device that the Central Bank could use to avoid getting involved in an undesirable banking-sector bailout. We show how a political process could induce an equilibrium outcome that differs from the one that a benevolent Central Bank would want to implement. Dollarization then could be used to restore the economy to the benevolent outcome. In s...

The question of whether private investors can discriminate between the risk taken by banks is empirically investigated by testing the risk sensitivity of European banks’ subordinated notes and debentures (SND) spreads. A unique dataset of spreads, ratings, accounting and market measures of bank risk is used for a sample of SND issued during the 1991-2000:Q1 period. Moody’s Bank Financial Streng...

Failure in bank corporate governance has been seen as a contributing factor to excessive risk-taking pre-crisis with devastating implications as risks realised during the financial crisis. Unfortunately, the empirical evidence on the impact of managerial incentives on bank crisis performance is scarce. Moreover, bank strategy has not previously been accounted for. Hence, this paper presents nov...

Standard banking theory suggests that there exists an optimal level of credit risk that yields maximum bank profit. We identify the optimal level of risk-weighted assets that maximizes banks’ returns in the full sample of US banks over the period 1996–2011. We find that this optimal level is cyclical for the average bank, being higher than the realized credit risk in relatively stable periods w...

Article history: Received 11 December 2008 Received in revised form 25 August 2009 Accepted 21 September 2009 Available online 15 October 2009 Using data from prewar Japan, this paper investigates the impact of a liquidity shock induced by depositors' behavior on bank portfolio management during financial crises in a system lacking deposit insurance. It is found that banks reacted to the liquid...