The share of manufacturing in output follows an inverted U shape over the course of development. However, both the timing and the magnitude of structural change differ substantially across countries. I show a simple open economy model of structural change can explain why countries with lower aggregate productivity industrialize more slowly and start de-industrialization at a lower share of manu...

this paper investigates the effect of foreign trade and human capital on economic growth using pooling data for the oic member countries over the period 1980-2003. for this purpose, the soderbom-teal (2003) growth model is re-specified with the variables such as growth of manufacturing exports, manufacturing imports, human capital, labor force and physical capital. the empirical results indicat...

Why does the current wave of globalization create more public concern/opposition than previous rounds of trade liberalization? This paper identifies a key difference between globalization and trade liberalization that could be responsible for it. It is shown that while both globalization and trade liberalization create inter-sector income distribution, the former also creates intra-sector incom...

This paper introduces sector-specific externalities in the Heckscher–Ohlin twocountry dynamic general equilibrium model to show that indeterminacy of the equilibrium path in the world market can occur. Under certain conditions in terms of factor intensities, there are multiple equilibrium paths from the same initial distribution of capital in the world market, and the distribution of capital in...

It is shown that interim dynamically consistent trade may be supported among agents who have resolute (non-consequential) choice preferences.  2003 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved. JEL classification: D81; D82; D84

A new presentation of the specific factors model shows how labor fares under international trade by considering how the price elasticity of the nominal wage rate responds to the terms of trade as well as factor endowments. Gains to labor are decomposed into measurable terms of trade effects and production bias effects. If trade is caused by differences in technology, trade can harm the interest...

For spatial data with a suffi ciently long time dimension, the concept of global cointegration has been recently included in the econometrics research agenda. Global cointegration arises when non-stationary time series are cointegrated both within and between spatial units. In this paper, we analyze the role of globally cointegrated variable relationships using German regional data (NUTS 1 leve...

In spite of Latin America’s dismal economic performance between the 1950s and 1980s, the region experienced strong capital deepening. Furthermore, productivity (measured as TFP) grew at low rates in comparison with the U.S. In this paper, we suggest that all these facts can be explained as a consequence of the restrictive trade regime adopted at that time. Our analytical framework is based on a...

A substantial part of the economic growth literature suggests that historically, geographic features such as decreasing trade costs have not only enhanced output, but may also be associated with rapid urbanization and ’growth take-offs’. However, this literature lacks an analytical motivation for lower transport costs, and assumes their decrease to obtain exogenously and at no cost: It thus doe...

For spatial data with a suffi ciently long time dimension, the concept of global cointegration has been recently included in the econometrics research agenda. Global cointegration arises when non-stationary time series are cointegrated both within and between spatial units. In this paper, we analyze the role of globally cointegrated variable relationships using German regional data (NUTS 1 leve...