We analyze the impact of news (information shocks) in economies where liquidity plays a role. While we also consider news about real factors, like productivity, one motivation is that central bank announcements evidently affect markets, as taken for granted by advocates of forward guidance policy. The dynamic effects can be complicated, with information about monetary policy or real factors aff...

We use the database leak of Mt. Gox exchange to analyze the dynamics of the price of bitcoin from June 2011 to November 2013. This gives us a rare opportunity to study an emerging retail-focused, highly speculative and unregulated market with trader identifiers at a tick transaction level. Jumps are frequent events and they cluster in time. The order flow imbalance and the preponderance of aggr...

The authors study time-variation in the co-movements between daily stock and Treasury bond returns over 1986 to 2000. Their innovation is to examine whether variation in stock-bond return dynamics can be linked to non-return-based measures of stock market uncertainty, specifically the implied volatility (IV) from equity index options and detrended stock turnover (DTVR). The authors investigate ...

study of the changes in the stock price in tehran stock exchange is of great importance. this is because of its application in forecasting the stock price in the stock exchange. the aim of this article is to investigate the forces and mechanisms that cause the dramatic changes in stock price and the formation of chaotic trend. to test whether the chaotic trend in the tehran stock exchange exist...

abstract the current study aims to investigate the relationship between iran’s targeted subsidies plan and the stock returns of listed companies on the tehran stock exchange (tse). stock returns is obtained from the indices of three industries: pharmaceuticals, chemicals, and machinery and equipment. moreover, the present research uses gold price and dollar price as control variables. the targe...

The authors model trading by foreign and domestic investors in developed-country equity markets. The key assumptions are that (i) both the foreign and domestic investor populations contain investors of different sophistication, and (ii) investor sophistication matters for performance in both public equity and private off-market investments. A quantitative model with these assumptions delivers a...

We consider an equilibrium model à la Kyle-Back for a defaultable claim issued by a given firm. In such a market the insider observes continuously in time the value of firm, which is unobservable by the market makers. Using the construction of a dynamic Bessel bridge of dimension 3 in [5], we provide the equilibrium price and the optimal insider’s strategy. As in [3], the information released b...

Existing studies using low-frequency data show that macroeconomic shocks contribute little to international stock market covariation. Those studies, however, do not account for the presence of asymmetric information, where sophisticated investors generate private information about the fundamentals that drive returns in many countries. In this paper, the authors use a new microstructure data set...

Donald Trump’s victory in the 2016 presidential election was a political surprise to almost everyone, domestically and internationally. This paper investigates international investors’ reaction this apparent global surprise. Employing an event study methodology, we test three widely known behavioral hypotheses concerning investor unexpected news, that is, Overreaction Hypothesis (OH), Uncertain...

the present study aim is to offer a systematic method of assessing the credit risk of banks and also to identify key indicators using decision making trial and evaluation laboratory (dematel) technique as well as using logit regression in order to predict the credit risk of listed banks. the population of the study consists of the legal clients of the bank (ansar bank, bank saderat iran, bank m...