This paper uses the term structure of interest rates to explain the variations of stock prices and stock returns. It shows that interest rates have an important impact on stock returns, especially at long horizons. The hypothesis that expected stock returns move one-for-one with ex ante interest rates, which has been rejected in other studies using short horizon nominal asset returns, is suppor...

When volatility feedback is taken into account, there is strong evidence of a positive tradeoff between stock market volatility and expected returns on a market portfolio. In this paper, we ask whether this intertemporal tradeoff between risk and return is responsible for the reported evidence of mean reversion in stock prices. There are two relevant findings. First, price movements not related...

We are concerned with the valuation of European options in the Heston stochastic volatility model with correlation. Based on Mellin transforms, we present new solutions for the price of European options and hedging parameters. In contrast to Fourier-based approaches, where the transformation variable is usually the log-stock price at maturity, our framework focuses on directly transforming the ...

This paper introduces a unified model, which can accommodate both a continuoustime Itô process used to model high-frequency stock prices and a GARCH process employed to model low-frequency stock prices, by embedding a discrete-time GARCH volatility in its continuous-time instantaneous volatility. This model is called a unified GARCH-Itô model. We adopt realized volatility estimators based on hi...

Realized volatility of stock returns is often decomposed into two distinct components that are attributed to continuous price variation and jumps. This paper proposes a tobit multivariate factor model for the jumps coupled with a standard multivariate factor model for the continuous sample path to jointly forecast volatility in three Chinese Mainland stocks. Out of sample forecast analysis show...

Expected future volatility plays a central role in finance theory. Consequently, accurate estimation of this parameter is crucial to meaningful financial decision-making. Researchers generally on the past behavior of asset prices to estimate volatility, relating movements in volatility value with prior volatility and/or variables in the investors' information set. These procedures are by nature...

We have introduced an early warning system for volatility regimes regarding Tehran Stock Exchange using Markov Switching GARCH approach. We have examined whether Tehran Stock Market has calmed down or more specifically, whether the surge in volatility during 2007-2010 global financial crises still affects stock return volatility in Iran.  Doing so, we have used a regime switching GARCH model.  ...

the aim of this paper is analyzing the role of psychology of numbers in financial markets and in this area, investigates the price clustering phenomenon in trading prices of tehran stock exchange. price clustering is one of anomalies that have been observed in financial markets that representative psychological biases or tendency to specific numbers in the market. this phenomenon includes of de...

We propose a model with heterogeneous interacting traders which can explain some of the stylized facts of stock market returns A generalized version of the Random Field Ising Model RFIM is introduced to describe trading behavior Imitation e ects which induce agents to trade can generate avalanches in trading volume and large gaps in demand and supply A trade friction is introduced which by resp...