Goebel et al. question our forecasted response of induced seismicity to reduction of saltwater injection rates in north-central Oklahoma and raise the concern that "the probability of future damaging earthquakes may be underestimated." We compare our prediction to earthquake data recorded in the 8 months after publication. Observed seismicity rates and magnitudes agree with the forecast of our ...

The limits of a recently proposed universal scaling law for the probability distributions of earthquake recurrence times are explored. The scaling properties allow to improve the statistics of occurrence of large earthquakes over small areas by mixing rescaled recurrence times for different areas. In this way, the scaling law still holds for events with M≥5.5 at scales of about 20 km, and for M...

in this paper, efforts are made to compare the safety of steel moment resistant frames designed according to different editions of the iranian code of practice for seismic resistant design of buildings. also, failure risk of a low and medium height frame which designed for high and low seismicity regions according to three editions of the code are evaluated. first, the testing cases were design...

[1] We establish a connection between geometry of the faults’ network in a region and seismicity preceding the strong earthquakes in the intermediate-term timescale of years. Previous studies of observed and computer-simulated seismicity demonstrated that strong earthquakes are preceded in that timescale by the rise of seismic activity in a lower magnitude range. Here, we explore a complementar...

The spatial distribution of seismicity is often used as one of the indicators of zones where future large earthquakes are likely to occur. This is particularly true for intraplate regions such as the central and eastern United States, where geology is markedly enigmatic for delineating seismically active areas. Although using past seismicity for this purpose may be intuitively appealing, it is ...

This paper is concerned with the intermediate-term prediction of the forthcoming M7 ~ 8 class earthquake on the plate boundary, off the east coast of Miyagi Prefecture, northern Japan, which is the highest probability among the long-term forecast announced to the public. Regional seismicity in the regions of stress-shadow preceding each of the previous ruptures in 1936 and 1978 shows quiescence...

We investigate the relative importance of injection and production on spatial-temporal distribution induced seismicity at Raft River geothermal field. use time-series InSAR measurements to document surface deformation calibrate a hydro-mechanical model estimate effective stress changes imparted by production. Seismicity, located predominantly in basement, is primarily poroelastic stresses from ...

The study focuses on the spatial organization of seismicity and the relation between fracture pattern and earthquakes in the Friuli (north-eastern Italy) and western Slovenia seismic regions. The structural setting is characterized by a complex structure resulting from the superposition of several tectonic phases that generated NW-SE trending Dinaric faults and about E-W trending Alpine faults....

[1] Exogenous growth of Peléean lava domes involves the addition of lava from a central summit vent and mass wasting on the flanks as rockfalls and pyroclastic flows. These processes were investigated at the Soufrière Hills Volcano, Montserrat, between 30 March and 10 April 2006, using a ground-based imaging millimeter-wave radar, AVTIS, to measure the shape of the dome and talus surface and ro...