In this paper we investigate the impact of the switching from the same-day settlement to the following-day settlement on the market volatility and its structure. Using the Levene tests and bootstrap procedures, we find that the switching causes a drastic decrease in the stock market volatility. In addition, using a modified GARCH model, we also find a substantial change in the volatility struct...

This paper empirically compares the Markov-switching and stochastic volatility diffusion models of the short rate. The evidence supports the Markov-switching diffusion model. Estimates of the elasticity of volatility parameter for single regime models unanimously indicate an explosive volatility process, while the Markov-switching models estimates are reasonable. We find that either Markov-swit...

In this paper we study a new class of nonlinear GARCH models. Special interest is devoted to models that are similar to previously introduced smooth transition GARCH models except for the novel feature that a lagged value of conditional variance is used as the transition variable. This choice of the transition variable is mainly motivated by the desire to find useful models for highly persisten...

Though Hamilton's (1989) Markov switching model has been widely estimated in various contexts, formal testing for Markov switching is not straightforward. Univariate tests in the classical framework by Hansen (1992) and Garcia (1998) do not reject the linear model for GDP. We present Bayesian tests for Markov switching in both univariate and multivariate settings based on sensitivity of the pos...