The nature of consumer products causes the difficulty in forecasting the future demands and the accuracy of the forecasts significantly affects the overall performance of the supply chain system. In this study, two data mining methods, artificial neural network (ANN) and support vector machine (SVM), were utilized to predict the demand of consumer products. The training data used was the actual...

In this study, a fuzzy integrated logical forecasting method (FILF) is extended for multi-variate systems by using a vector autoregressive model. Fuzzy time series forecasting (FTSF) method was recently introduced by Song and Chissom [1]-[2] after that Chen improved the FTSF method. Rather than the existing literature, the proposed model is not only compared with the previous FTS models, but al...

This paper examines the predictive content of several macroeconomic variables for the decisions of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) to change its target for the Federal funds rate. To take the discrete nature of the target changes and their serial dependence into account we develop forecasting procedures that are based on dynamic extensions of a multinomial logit model. We …nd that the ...

Kernel classifiers (such as support vector machines) have been successfully applied in numerous areas, and have demonstrated excellent performance. However, due to the high dimensionality and nonlinear distribution of financial input data in credit rating forecasting, finding a suitable low dimensional subspace by nonlinear dimensionality reductions is a key step to improve classifier performan...

This paper deals with the application of a well-known neural network technique, multi-layer back-propagation (BP) neural network, in financial data mining. A modified neural network forecasting model is presented, and an intelligent mining system is developed. The system can forecast the buying and selling signs according to the prediction of future trends to stock market, and provide decision-...

The presence of stock market efficiency is a distinctive characteristic of the effectively functioning market economy. Investigation of the market efficiency of seven emerging East-European stock exchanges is carried out as their major stock indices (BELEX15, BET, CROBEX, ISE100, PFTS, RTSI, SOFIX) are studied in respect of long-range dependence (LRD), persistency, and forecasting possibili...