Investors and policymakers have long hoped that Treasury Inflation Protected Securities (TIPS) would provide an accurate measure of long-term market inflation expectations. To make informed decisions and to ensure that inflation does not erode the purchasing power of their assets, investors need to assess the rate of inflation expected by other market participants. Having an accurate measure of...

For a central bank to fulfil its price stability mandate, the accurate assessment of inflation expectations is of crucial importance. Market participants gauging long-term investments have similar concerns about inflation. Traditionally, inflation expectations have been derived from models or through surveys of market participants’ opinions. In the mid to late 1990s financial markets started to...

Johnson’s paper addresses one of the main issues of central banking: How successful have monetary authorities been in acquiring credibility for their inflation objectives? Johnson’s approach is both simple and elegant. For countries with explicit inflation targets, he examines whether inflation expectations are consistent with those targets. Since not all central banks have explicit inflation t...

This paper examines the relationship between inflation and wage indexation in the postwar U.S. using data on the prevalence of cost-of-living adjustments in major collective bargaining agreements. I find that increases in inflation precede increases in wage indexation but reductions in inflation do not precede reductions in wage indexation. There is virtually no evidence that wage indexation af...

Experts believe that by lowering the interest rate on bank accounts, total cost of goods and services decreases, and secondly, investment production increases,  both of which lead to lower inflation and provide stable employment field, on the other hand, are concerned about the negative effects of lowering the interest rate without lowering inflation and know the underlying requirement of nomin...

The Great Inflation of the 1970s was an international phenomenon. We study whether monetary authorities in the G7 countries were changing their responses to inflation in a similar manner during and following the Great Inflation era. Our results suggest that the common to the G7 countries inflation pattern during the Great Inflation period is associated with a common pattern in the monetary poli...

We introduce a new type of incentive contract for central bankers: inflation forecast contracts, which make central bankers' remunerations contingent on the precision of their inflation forecasts. We show that such contracts enable central bankers to influence inflation expectations more effectively, thus facilitating more successful stabilization of current inflation. Inflation forecast contra...