In this paper, we study the potential of stocks as a hedge against inflation for different investment horizons. We show that stocks can be a hedge against inflation even if stock returns are negatively correlated with unexpected inflation shocks, and only moderately positively related to expected inflation. Depending on the investment horizon, the optimal hedge ratio can be either positive or n...

We propose several econometric measures of systemic risk to capture the interconnectedness among the monthly returns of hedge funds, banks, brokers, and insurance companies based on principal components analysis and Granger-causality tests. We find that all four sectors have become highly interrelated over the past decade, increasing the level of systemic risk in the finance and insurance indus...

We study hedge fund performance evaluation under the stochastic discount factor framework of Farnsworth, Ferson, Jackson, and Todd (FFJT). To accommodate dynamic trading strategies and derivatives used by hedge funds, we extend FFJT’s approach by considering models with option and time-averaged risk factors and incorporating option returns in model estimation. A wide range of models yield simil...

We consider the problem of hedging the loss of a given portfolio of derivatives using a set of more liquid derivative instruments. We illustrate why the typical mathematical formulation for this hedging problem is ill-posed. We propose to determine a hedging portfolio by minimizing a proportional cost subject to an upper bound on the hedge risk; this bound is typically slightly larger than the ...

In this analysis we identify dynamic hedge fund strategies quantitatively pursuing a Principal Component Analysis following Fung & Hsieh (1997). We extract five dominant hedge fund strategies each representing similar investment styles and analyse the performance of each strategy by employing a multi-factor model comprising both market indices and passive option strategies along the lines of Ag...

In the present paper, the resolution method for a linguistic propositional logic with truth value in a logical algebra refined hedge algebra, is focused. The preliminaries of refined hedge algebra are given first. Then the syntax and semantic of linguistic propositional are defined. Finally, a resolution method which based on resolution principle in two-valued logic is established. Accordingly,...

A quantum field theory generalization, Baaquie [1], of the Heath, Jarrow, and Morton (HJM) [10] term structure model parsimoniously describes the evolution of imperfectly correlated forward rates. Field theory also offers powerful computational tools to compute path integrals which naturally arise from all forward rate models. Specifically, incorporating field theory into the term structure fac...

This paper examines the impact of management preferences on optimal futures hedging strategy and associated performance. Applying an expected utility hedging objective, the optimal futures hedge ratio is determined for a range of preferences on risk aversion, hedging horizon and expected returns. Empirical results reveal substantial hedge ratio variation across distinct management preferences a...