Estimating the risks heat waves pose to human health is a critical part of assessing the future impact of climate change. In this article, we propose a flexible class of time series models to estimate the relative risk of mortality associated with heat waves and conduct Bayesian model averaging (BMA) to account for the multiplicity of potential models. Applying these methods to data from 105 U....

This article aims to describe the occurrence of heat waves in Western and Southwestern Europe in the period 1976–2015 and determining pressure patterns that cause a persistence of hot days. A hot day was defined as a day on which the daily maximum air temperature was higher than the 95th annual percentile; and a heat wave was recognised as a sequence of at least five days of the abovementioned ...

The August 2003 heat wave in France resulted in many thousands of excess deaths particularly of elderly people. Individual and environmental risk factors for death among the community-dwelling elderly were identified. We conducted a case-control survey and defined cases as people aged 65 years and older who lived at home and died from August 8 through August 13 from causes other than accident, ...

Animals will continue to encounter increasingly warm environments, including more frequent and intense heat waves. Yet the physiological consequences of heat waves remain equivocal, potentially because of variation in adaptive plasticity (reversible acclimation) and/or aspects of experimental design. Thus, we measured a suite of physiological variables in the corn snake (Pantherophis guttatus) ...

On the spectrum of vertically propagating gravity waves generated by a transient heat source M. J. Alexander and J. R. Holton Colorado Research Associates Division, NorthWest Research Associates, Inc., Boulder, CO, USA Department of Atmospheric Sciences, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA Received: 13 October 2003 – Accepted: 21 January 2004 – Published: 12 February 2004 Correspondence ...

Heat waves continue to claim lives, with the elderly and poor at greatest risk. A simple and cost-effective intervention is an electric fan, but public health agencies warn against their use despite no evidence refuting their efficacy in heat waves. A conceptual human heat balance model can be used to estimate the evaporative requirement for heat balance, the potential for evaporative heat loss...

In the present work, a modified model of heat conduction including higher order of time derivative is derived by extending Green and Naghdi theory without energy dissipation. We introduce two phase lag times to include the thermal displacement gradient and the heat flux in the heat conduction and depict microscopic responses more precisely. The constructed model is applied to s...