The skewness in physical distributions of equity index returns and the implied volatility skew in the risk neutral measure are subjects of extensive academic research. Much attention is now being focused on models that are able to capture time-varying conditional skewness and kurtosis. For this reason normal mixture GARCH(1,1) models have become very popular in financial econometrics. We introd...

Abstract T his paper empirically examines the impact of dependence structure between the assets on the portfolio optimization, composed of Tehran Stock Exchange Price Index and Borsa Istanbul 100 Index. In this regard, the method of the Copula family functions is proposed as powerful and flexible tool to determine the structure of dependence. Finally, the impact of the dep...

The adverse economic and social effects of the recent increases in food prices have prompted policymakers academics to reconsider potential causes such increases. This paper contributes existing literature by investigating causal oil prices, fertiliser global activity, geopolitical risk on international price volatility between January 1993 December 2021. research considers aggregate inde...

Due to the high risk associated with international transactions, exchange rate forecasting is a challenging and important field in modern time series analysis. The difficulty in forecasting arises from the nonlinearity and non-stationarity inherent in exchange rate dynamics. To address these problems, this study proposes a hybrid model that couples two effective feature extraction techniques, p...

An understanding of volatility in stock markets is important for determining the cost of capital and for assessing investment and leverage decisions as volatility is synonymous with risk. Substantial changes in volatility of financial markets are capable of having significant negative effects on risk averse investors. Using daily returns from 1992 to 2002, we investigate volatility co-movement ...