Accurate and effective electricity price forecasting is critical to market participants in order to make an appropriate risk management in competitive electricity markets. Market participants rely on price forecasts to decide on their bidding strategies, allocate assets and plan facility investments. However, due to its time variant behavior and non-linear and non-stationary nature, electricity...

Modelling and forecasting Stock market is a challenging task for economists and engineers since it has a dynamic structure and nonlinear characteristic. This nonlinearity affects the efficiency of the price characteristics. Using an Artificial Neural Network (ANN) is a proper way to model this nonlinearity and it has been used successfully in one-step-ahead and multi-step-ahead prediction of di...

accurate and effective electricity price forecasting is critical to market participants in order to make an appropriate risk management in competitive electricity markets. market participants rely on price forecasts to decide on their bidding strategies, allocate assets and plan facility investments. however, due to its time variant behavior and non-linear and non-stationary nature, electricity...

Predicting stock exchange rates is receiving increasing attention and is a vital financial problem as it contributes to the development of effective strategies for stock exchange transactions. The forecasting of stock price movement in general is considered to be a thought-provoking and essential task for financial time series' exploration. In this paper, a Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selectio...

Traditional document representation for classification follows Bag of Words (BoW) approach to represent the term weights. The conventional method uses the Vector Space Model (VSM) to exploit the statistical information of terms in the documents and they fail to address the semantic information as well as order of the terms present in the documents. Although, the phrase based approach follows th...

Stock price crash risk has a significant impact on investors, creditors, managers, and shareholders, so the prediction of this phenomenon is a very important issue in investment and risk management decisions. This research investigates the effect of business strategy and stock price synchronicity on stock price crash risk. Following Bentley et al.[2], composite strategy score has been used to ...

generally, high oil prices slow economic growth, cause inflationary pressures and creates global imbalances. in addition, oil price volatility increase uncertainty and restrain the much-needed investment in the capital market. thus, this paper applies the augmented dickey fuller and johansen co-integration tests in which the effect of oil price volatility, crude oil price and stock price is ana...

Forecasting the behavior of the financial market is a nontrivial task that relies on the discovery of strong empirical regularities in observations of the system. These regularities are often masked by noise and the financial time series often have nonlinear and non-stationary behavior. With the rise of artificial intelligence technology and the growing interrelated markets of the last two deca...

One of the most used methods to forecast price volatility is the generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (GARCH) model. Nonetheless, the errors in prediction using this approach are often quite high. Hence, continued research is conducted to improve forecasting models employing a variety of techniques. In this paper, we extend the field of expert systems, forecasting, and mode...