the hypothesis which more educated women experience less fertility has motivated many researches. current study is also carried out in the same direction of those investigations. the theoretical model is designed based on microeconomics of fertility that show since the substitution effect of rising female schooling surpasses the income effect, the presence of negative relation between the level...

this paper presents a new index of financial stress which is constructed by macro data from different financial markets (including banking sector and also housing, foreign exchange and stock markets). the proposed approach has been applied to the iranian economy based on the available quarterly time series, covering the period 1991(1)–2008(2). the paper explains how the selected components capt...

the main purpose of this paper is theoretically to design the optimal intervention in the foreign exchange market in iran, which has not been investigated by previous studies. the economic fundamentals are strongly affected by the optimal foreign exchange intervention, the consistency of foreign exchange intervention with other policies and political authorities' beliefs about the interven...

This paper presents a principal-agent model of IMF conditional lending, in the aftermath of a “capital-account” liquidity crisis. We show that traditional ex-post conditionality can be e¤ective in safeguarding the Fund’s resources, allowing for the provision of e¢cient emergency lending and reducing ine¢cient ex-ante credit rationing if the capital out‡ow which triggers the crisis is not excess...

We study a model in which being more powerful does not necessarily imply being wealthier. r 2003 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved. JEL classification: C7; S477; B201

depending on the assumptions that are made in new keynesian models, one can attain different new keynesian phillips curves. in this study, three different new keynesian phillips curves and two different central bank behavioural functions are presented which leaves six new keynesian dsge models to study. the purpose of this study is the comparison of these six models and selecting the best model...

the risk free rate of return plays a main role in financial economic theory and financial markets. due to prohibition of interest in islamic countries there is no specific financial instrument with risk free rate of return as a criterion for measuring the risk free rate of market. we apply the kalman filter to estimate this variable for financial markets in iran. the technique is based on a sta...

this study employs a gmdh neural network model, which has high capability in recognition of complicated non-linear trends especially with small samples, for modeling and predicting iranian gdp growth. first a fundamental model containing 7 independent variables together with dependent variable is designed and then by using deductive process and omission of one variable at a time, a total of 18 ...

Although initially originated as a totally empirical relationship to explain the volume of trade between two partners, gravity equation has been the focus of several theoretic models that try to explain it. Specialization models are of great importance in providing a solid theoretic ground for gravity equation in bilateral trade. Some research papers try to improve specialization models by addi...

the emphasis of this paper is the role of volatility indices on improvement artificial neural networks (anns) forecasting models for the daily usd/eur and usd/gbp exchange rates two volatility indices are used. first; the realized volatility, which is based on intra-daily data, and second the garch volatility. they are applied into the model in two ways. firstly, the lagged volatility index is ...