OBJECTIVE To describe, evaluate, and suggest interpretations for an observed aggregate-level relation between trends in mortality from cirrhosis and per capita consumption of distilled spirits in the United States. DESIGN Trend analysis using data on US cirrhosis mortality and per capita alcohol consumption. RESULTS There is a consistent long-term trend relation between mortality from cirrh...

In order to solve the problems of insufficient accuracy long-term power load forecasting and poor applicability model, this paper considers coupling a number macro indicators, such as regional economic development social with time series data load. BP neural network Autoregressive integrated moving average model (ARIMA) are used integrate improve so trend ability annual model. The non parametri...