Abstract I n this paper, the behavior of the real oil price and OPEC and non-OPEC oil production during 1973-2013 are modelled. Interactions among OPEC, non-OPEC oil production, global oil consumption, and the real price of crude oil are estimated using a Structural VAR model (SVAR). After providing evidence for the structural breaks in oil price in 1996, the results indicate that, ac...

A variety of methods is available to estimate a portfolio’s Value-at-Risk. Aside from the overall VaR there is an apparent need for information about marginal VaR, component VaR and incremental VaR. Expressions for these VaR metrics have been derived under the restrictive normality assumption. In this paper we investigate these VaR concepts in an elliptical world and in a general distribution-f...

Antigenic variation in the human malaria parasite Plasmodium falciparum depends on the transcriptional regulation of the var gene family. In each individual parasite, mRNA is expressed exclusively from 1 var gene out of ∼60, while the rest of the genes are transcriptionally silenced. Both modifications to chromatin structure and DNA regulatory elements associated with each var gene have been im...

The 1970s and early 1980s witnessed two main approaches to the analysis of monetary policy. The first is the early new classical approach of Lucas, based on the assumptions of rational expectations and market clearing. The second is the atheoretical econometrics of Sims’s VAR program. Both have developed: the new classical approach has been enriched through various accounts of price stickiness,...

It is common wisdom that the 9/11 terrorist attacks boosted political and financial uncertainty and resulted in severe stock market meltdowns in the months after the attacks. Taking a sectoral focus of the market for US common stock, we apply statistical extreme value analysis (EVT) to assess whether downside risk measures like Value-at-Risk (VaR) and extremal sector linkages were significantly...

Cyclopoid copepods and mosquito larvae were surveyed in southwestern Louisiana rice fields. Almost every rice field had a natural population of Mesocyclops ruttneri, Acanthocylops vernalis, or Macrocyclops albidus. Judging from the abundance of pupae, 29% of the fields were responsible for virtually all Anopheles quadrimaculatus production, apparently because larval mortality suppressed product...

Phthiocol, the pigment isolated from Mycobacterium tuberculosis var. hominis, strain H37, by Anderson and Newman (1933a), has a structural formula identical with that of vitamin K, except for the substitution of a hydroxyl group for the phytyl radical on its third carbon. The synthesis of this antihemorrhagic vitamin by Mycobacterium tuberculosis var. hominis was noted in animal experiments by ...

The 1970s and early 1980s witnessed two main approaches to the analysis of monetary policy. The first is the early new classical approach of Lucas, based on the assumptions of rational expectations and market clearing. The second is the atheoretical econometrics of Sims’s VAR program. Both have developed: the new classical approach has been enriched through various accounts of price stickiness,...