Previous studies have examined the manipulation of executive stock option awards and exercises, focusing on information timing by managers. In this paper, we investigate potential managerial manipulation of stock-price performance motivated by executive stock options. To distinguish performance manipulation from information timing, we examine stock-price performance surrounding the departure of...

This paper analyzes a class of stochastic endogenous growth models with uninsurable idiosyncratic income risk. The model economy is populated by infinitely-lived households who own and operate their own business, work for a stock company, and participate in stock and bond markets. Households have timeand state-additive log-utility preferences and production functions exhibit constant returns to...

Empirical volatility studies have discovered nonstationary, long-memory dynamics in the volatility of the stock market and foreign exchange rates. This highly persistent, infinite variance—but still mean reverting—behavior is commonly found with nonparametric estimates of the fractional differencing parameter d, for financial volatility. In this paper, a fully parametric Bayesian estimator, rob...

Article history: Received 23 August 2011 Received in revised form 16 April 2012 Accepted 19 April 2012 Available online 5 May 2012 This paper proposes a two-state Markov-switching model for stock market returns in which the state-dependent expected returns, their variance and associated regime-switching dynamics are allowed to respond to market information. More specifically, we apply this mode...

In this paper, we evaluate the performance of a number of forecasting models of U.S. business fixed investment spending growth over the recent 1995:1-2004:2 out-of-sample period at multiple forecast horizons. The forecasting models are based on the conventional Accelerator, Neoclassical, Average Q, and Cash-Flow models of investment spending, as well as empirical models developed more recently ...

This paper empirically analyzes the initial and after-market returns for the Turkish initial public offerings (IPOs) to provide an emerging market case of international evidence on performances of IPOs. The sample consists of 163 firms listed and traded on the Istanbul Stock Exchange during the period of 1990–1996. The results show that the Turkish IPOs are underpriced on initial trading day on...

I analyze the effect of monetary policy actions on the cross-section of equity returns. Based on earlier theoretical work for the monetary transmission mechanism one can argue that changes in monetary policy should produce differentiated effects on firms and stocks with different characteristics. By using different portfolio sorts the results show that the impact of monthly changes in the Feder...

This study investigates the applicability of the CAPM in explaining the cross section of stock return on the Karachi Stock Exchange for the period September 1992 to April 2006. Unlike earlier studies on emerging markets this study is carried out with a broader scope. Firstly, the tests are conducted on individual stocks as well as size sorted portfolios and industry portfolios. Secondly, the te...

Stock return is usually considered to be affected by firm’s financial ratios as well as economic variables. Fundamental method assume that stock returns is not solely related to the stock market. Most result come from the company condition , industry situation and whole economy. In this paper, this relationship between stock return and fundamentals is studied using the data for 22 pharmaceutica...