The prediction of a stock market direction may serve as an early recommendation system for short-term investors and as an early financial distress warning system for long-term shareholders. Many stock prediction studies focus on using macroeconomic indicators, such as CPI and GDP, to train the prediction model. However, daily data of the macroeconomic indicators are almost impossible to obtain....

Obtaining accurate prediction of stock index significantly helps decision maker to take correct actions to develop a better economy. The inability to predict fluctuation of the stock market might cause serious profit loss. The challenge is that we always deal with dynamic market which is influenced by many factors. They include political, financial and reserve occasions. Thus, stable, robust an...

The 2007-2009 financial crisis, and its fallout, has strongly emphasized the need to define new ways and measures to study and assess the dynamics of financial markets. The S&P500 dynamics during 4/1999-4/2010 is investigated in terms of the index cohesive force (ICF the balance between the stock correlations and the partial correlations after subtraction of the index contribution). We found a ...

The Indian stock market is one of the earliest in Asia being in operation since 1875, but remained largely outside the global integration process until the late 1980s. A number of developing countries in concert with the International Finance Corporation and the World Bank took steps in the 1980s to establish and revitalize their stock markets as an effective way of mobilizing and allocation of...

Using a recently introduced method to quantify the time-varying lead-lag dependencies between pairs of economic time series (the thermal optimal path method), we test two fundamental tenets of the theory of fixed income: (i) the stock market variations and the yield changes should be anti-correlated; (ii) the change in central bank rates, as a proxy of the monetary policy of the central bank, s...

Oil price fluctuations affect equity values in North American, European, and Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) stock markets, as evidenced by prior studies. However, they only focus on market-wide level analysis. This study, through both market level and sector level analyses, examines the sensitivity of Malaysian stock returns to oil price fluctuations over the period from January 2000 to March 2...

The discovery of evolutionary laws of financial market is always built on the basis of financial data. Any financial market must be controlled by some basic laws, including macroscopic level, submicroscopic level and microscopic level laws. How to discover its necessity-laws from financial data is the most important task of financial market analysis and prediction. Based on the evolutionary com...

There is an old Wall Street adage goes, ‘‘It takes volume to make price move”. The contemporaneous relation between trading volume and stock returns has been studied since stock markets were first opened. Recent researchers such as Wang and Chin [Wang, C. Y., & Chin S. T. (2004). Profitability of return and volume-based investment strategies in China’s stock market. Pacific-Basin Finace Journal...