Stock market forecasting research offers many challenges and opportunities, with the forecasting of individual stocks or indexes focusing on forecasting either the level (value) of future market prices, or the direction of market price movement. A three-stage stock market prediction system is introduced in this article. In the first phase, Multiple Regression Analysis is applied to define the e...

By means of computer simulation technique, this paper builds an artificial stock market model consisting of decision making agents. Through the fundamental and technical analysis in the aspects of investors, trading cost, transaction volume, risk-free interest, tick size and price-limit system, the model is used to indicate the volatility and liquidity. The results show that the stock index tim...

This paper provides direct evidence of leverage-induced re sales leading to a major stock market crash. Our analysis uses proprietary account-level trading data for brokerageand shadownanced margin accounts during the Chinese stock market crash in the summer of 2015. We nd that margin investors heavily sell their holdings when their account-level leverage edges toward their maximum leverage lim...

• This paper investigates the distribution characteristics of stock market liquidity. • This paper utilizes the GAMLSS model and high-frequency data from Chinese stock markets. • The mean and variance of stock market liquidity move in the opposite directions. • The stock market liquidity normally exhibits a positive skewness. • The stock market liquidity exhibits a normal distribution at a low ...