Scenario planning is a widely accepted management tool for decision support activities. Scenario planning, development, organisation, analysis, and evaluation are generally quite complex processes. Systems that purport to support these processes are complex and difficult to use and do not fully support all phases of scenario management. Though traditional Decision Support Systems (DSS) provide ...

This paper describes parts of the results of a Nolan Norton Institute research project “Strategic Sourcing and Partnerships” executed with 20 international companies. We applied scenario planning to arrive at a number of plausible future scenarios for ICT sourcing and partnerships for the year 2003 / 2005.The scenarios elaborate on issues such as: (1) What are the key environmental and business...

Investment in the agricultural sector is important because this sector greatly affects the realms of providing food independence and security, employment, sustainable development, and environmental preservation. So, this study investigated the socio-economic impacts (direct and indirect effects) of the investment development policy on the agricultural sector and its sub-sectors in Iran in 2011 ...

Systematic procedure of developing radionuclide release scenarios was established based on FEP list and Interaction Matrix for the near-surface LILW repository. The relevant FEPs were screened by experts’ review in terms of domestic situation and combined into scenarios on the basis of Interaction Matrix analysis. A computer program named IMFEP_NS was developed to view and select project FEPs, ...

Hydrological models provide water managers with the available amount of water in the watershed. In this paper, we firstly developed a system dynamics model to calculate the available amount of water in the watershed. Then, we defined two scenarios one of which is the development scenario describing how land use changes can affect water availability in the watershed. Next, we divided the watersh...

This paper presents basic principles of a scenario approach application to the problem of optimal development of social economic systems. The formalized description of scenario of system sustainable development is introduced and synergetic and attractive scenarios are examined. The modes providing stable and safe development of social economic system are investigated for synergistic scenarios, ...