We introduce the Tournament Rank Probability Score (TRPS) as a measure to evaluate and compare pre-tournament predictions, where predictions of full tournament results are required be available before begins. The TRPS handles partial ranking teams, gives credit that only slightly wrong, can modified with weights stress importance particular features prediction. Thus, Prediction is more flexible...

Prediction of quantiles at extreme tails is interest in numerous applications. Extreme value modelling provides various competing predictors for this point prediction problem. A common method assessment a set to evaluate their predictive performance given situation. However, due the nature inference problem, it can be possible that predicted are not seen historical records, particularly when sa...