Cardioembolic stroke is a complex disease resulting from the interaction of numerous factors. Using data from Genes Affecting Stroke Risk and Outcome Study (GASROS), we show that a multivariate predictive model built using Bayesian networks is able to achieve a predictive accuracy of 86% on the fitted values as computed by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve relative to t...

Test sensitivity and specificity for the FAMACHA(©) clinical test for anaemia due to haemonchosis have previously been shown to be adequate in differentiating between heavily/less heavily infected sheep, but these properties give no objective guidance for setting the optimum threshold at which anthelmintic treatment should occur. The aim of this work was to use Receiver Operating Characteristic...

There are several criteria for determination of the most appropriate cut-off value in a diagnostic test with continuous results. Mostly based on receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis, there are various methods to determine the test cut-off value. The most common criteria are the point on ROC curve where the sensitivity and specificity of the test are equal; the point on the curve wit...

1 AUC Estimation The area under the ROC curve can be approximated using lower rectangles, upper rectangles or by using a linear approximation, as shown in Figure 1. The expressions related to each of these approximations are Al(zA) = M−1 ∑ t=0 (1− M̂Rt)(F̂ARt+1 − F̂ARt) Au(zA) = M−1 ∑ t=0 (1− M̂Rt+1)(F̂ARt+1 − F̂ARt) Am(zA) = M−1 ∑ t=0 (1− M̂Rt + M̂Rt+1 2 )(F̂ARt+1 − F̂ARt). Substituting the estimates fo...

BACKGROUND Breastfeeding self-efficacy can be measured with the Breastfeeding Self-Efficacy Scale-Short Form (BSES-SF). Mothers with low BSES-SF scores stop exclusive breastfeeding prematurely, but specific interventions can prevent that undesirable outcome. Because those interventions can be expensive, often one must decide which mothers will receive them. For that purpose, a cut-off BSES-SF s...

Area under an ROC curve plays an important role in estimating discrimination performance – a well-known theorem by Green (1964) states that ROC area equals the percentage of correct in two-alternative forcedchoice setting. When only single data point is available, the upper and lower bound of discrimination performance can be constructed based on the maximum and minimum area of legitimate ROC c...

BACKGROUND Teenage pregnancy is a known social problem which has been previously described using a number of deprivation measures. This study aimed to explore the temporal patterns of teenage pregnancy in Aberdeen, Scotland and to assess the discriminating ability of three measures of socioeconomic status. METHODS This was a population-based study from 1950 to 2010, using data from the Aberde...