In this paper we analyze the role of trade shocks in shaping aggregate fluctuations in Venezuela from 1950 to 1995. To this end a stochastic general equilibrium model of a small open economy whose main productive activity rests in the exports of a single basic product is specified. Shocks to the terms of trade which are directly associated to oil price changes are modelled as a foreign transfer...

This study employs the vector autoregressive model (VAR), impulse response function and variance decomposition to impact of oil price shocks on components government spending both oil-exporting importing countries over period from 1980 2018. While vast majority previous studies focused spending, this emphasized these current capital expenditure. It was found that affect expenditure positively i...

This paper employs disaggregated manufacturing data to investigate the causes of the time delay between an increase in oil prices and the following slowdown in economic activity. VAR results show that, unlike aggregate GDP, the effect of an oil price shock on new motor vehicles production shows up immediately and is statistically significantly. After one quarter, similar patterns are observed f...

Volatile oil exhibited depressant effect on central nervous system of rats and mice. It blocked CAR in 80% animals and potentiated effects of chlorpromazine hydrochloride on CAR and pentobarbitone induced hypnosis in mice. It exhibited hypothermic and analgesic activities and potentiated morphine induced analgesia considerably. The volatile oil checked tonichind limb extension produced by elect...

This paper examines the influence of global oil market shocks on India’s aggregate, non-oil, and trade balances using structural vector autoregression model. The impulse response analysis suggests that aggregate non-oil deteriorate in to adverse oil-specific demand shocks, while balance improves. Among only have a significant impact all metrics. research has crucial policy implications for Indi...

Using a structural VAR with block exogeneity, diagonality and identifying restrictions, this paper analyzes: first, the macroeconomic linkages among the oil price, U.S. output, interest rate, money supply, general price level and exchange rate and second, the relationships of the macroeconomic variables with the price indices of ten international nonfuel commodity groups. By assuming the block ...

This paper investigated the reaction of aggregate commodity market to oil price shocks and also explored the effects of oil price shocks on China's fundamental industries: metals, petrochemicals, grains and oilfats. We separated the volatilities of oil price into expected, unexpected and negatively expected categories to identify how oil prices influence bulk commodity markets. We contrasted th...