نتایج جستجو برای: multidecadal variation

تعداد نتایج: 297749  

2005
Alan Condron Robert DeConto Raymond S. Bradley Francis Juanes

[1] Climate variability is now known to play a key role in the abundance of marine fisheries, and must be accounted for to implement sustainable management strategies. We show that North American Atlantic salmon abundance has fluctuated in parallel with the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO); a basin-wide, low frequency climate mode producing cold-warm-cold sea surface temperatures over th...

Journal: :npj climate and atmospheric science 2023

Abstract Climate model simulations that restore SSTs in the North Atlantic have been used to explore climate impacts of Multidecadal Variability (AMV). However, despite and observations exhibiting similar SST anomalies, experiments with active SST-restoring Tropical exhibit strong positive surface heat-fluxes out ocean warm which is not replicated other or observations. The upward are systemati...

Journal: :Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 2011
Daniel B Nelson Mark B Abbott Byron Steinman Pratigya J Polissar Nathan D Stansell Joseph D Ortiz Michael F Rosenmeier Bruce P Finney Jon Riedel

We present a 6,000-yr record of changing water balance in the Pacific Northwest inferred from measurements of carbonate δ(18)O and grayscale on a sediment core collected from Castor Lake, Washington. This subdecadally resolved drought record tracks the 1,500-yr tree-ring-based Palmer Drought Severity Index reconstructions of Cook et al. [Cook ER, Woodhouse CA, Eakin CM, Meko DM, Stahle DW (2004...

Journal: :Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 2014
James A Johnstone Nathan J Mantua

Over the last century, northeast Pacific coastal sea surface temperatures (SSTs) and land-based surface air temperatures (SATs) display multidecadal variations associated with the Pacific Decadal Oscillation, in addition to a warming trend of ∼ 0.5-1 °C. Using independent records of sea-level pressure (SLP), SST, and SAT, this study investigates northeast (NE) Pacific coupled atmosphere-ocean v...

2007
G. M. MacDonald K. V. Kremenetski L. C. Smith H. G. Hidalgo

[1] Mapped correlations between annual discharges (AD 1938–1990) of the major Eurasian rivers entering the Arctic Ocean (Severnaya Dvina, Pechora, Ob’, Yenisey, Lena, and Kolyma) demonstrate a positive relationship between discharge and the Palmer Drought Severity Index (PDSI) within the individual basins and more distant areas. The relationship between recent discharge and PDSI supports the ap...

2014
TOBY R. AULT JULIA E. COLE JONATHAN T. OVERPECK GREGORY T. PEDERSON DAVID M. MEKO

Projected changes in global rainfall patterns will likely alter water supplies and ecosystems in semiarid regions during the coming century. Instrumental and paleoclimate data indicate that natural hydroclimate fluctuations tend to be more energetic at low (multidecadal to multicentury) than at high (interannual) frequencies. State-of-the-art global climate models do not capture this characteri...

2004
Daniel H. Sandweiss Kirk A. Maasch Fei Chai C. Fred T. Andrus Elizabeth J. Reitz

Understanding the influence of natural climatic variability on modern fisheries is complicated by over a century of industrial fishing. Archaeological data provide unique opportunities for assessing precolonial and preindustrial fisheries. Records show that anchoveta-vs sardine-dominated fisheries correlate with 20th-century climate change in the Pacific Basin and are linked to multidecadal cli...

2009
STEPHEN T. GARNER ISAAC M. HELD THOMAS KNUTSON JOSEPH SIRUTIS

Atlantic tropical cyclone activity has trended upward in recent decades. The increase coincides with favorable changes in local sea surface temperature and other environmental indices, principally associated with vertical shear and the thermodynamic profile. The relative importance of these environmental factors has not been firmly established. A recent study using a high-resolution dynamical d...

2013
Ellis Q. Margolis Thomas W. Swetnam

Understanding relationships between variability in historical fire occurrence and ocean–atmosphere oscillations provides opportunities for fire forecasting and projecting changes in fire regimes under climate change scenarios.We analysed tree-ring reconstructed regional climate teleconnections and fire–climate relationships in upper elevation forests (.2700m) from 16 sites in eight mountain ran...

2004
G. van der Schrier S. L. Weber S. S. Drijfhout J. A. Lowe

The control run of the Hadley Centre-coupled climate model (HadCM3) is used to establish the sources of multidecadal/ centennial sea level (SL) variations in the northwest Atlantic. It is shown that variations in the sea level for the largest part of this area are related to variations in the thermohaline structure of the upper (c 500 m) part of the ocean. Temperature variations dominate steric...

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