A central tenet of inflation targeting is that establishing and maintaining well-anchored inflation expectations are essential. In this paper, we reexamine the role of key elements of the inflation targeting framework towards this end, in the context of an economy where economic agents have an imperfect understanding of the macroeconomic landscape within which the public forms expectations and ...

The paper shows that common fiscal rules, such as a limit to the deficit-output ratio, induce an ‘‘escape clause’’–type fiscal policy, similar to that studied for monetary policy by Flood and Isard (1988 and 1989) and Lohmann (1992): The government resorts to an active stabilization (for example, countercyclical) policy only during ‘‘exceptional times’’ by running deficits in recession phases a...

This paper studies the interactions of fiscal and monetary policies in the presence of fiscal spillovers within a monetary union. When capital markets are integrated, the fiscal policy of any member country will influence equilibrium wages and interest rates across the whole union. Thus there are fiscal spillovers within a federation. Within a general class of monetary policy rules, there does ...

A formula is derived that links the coefficients of the monetary policy rule for the shortterm interest rate to the coefficients of the implied affine equations for long-term interest rates. The formula predicts that an increase in the coefficients in the monetary policy rule will lead to an increase in the coefficients in the affine equations. Empirical evidence for such a prediction is provid...

O ver the past several years, Taylor rules have attracted increased attention of analysts, policymakers, and the financial press. Taylor rules recommend a setting for the level of the federal funds rate based on the state of the economy. For instance, they may recommend raising the federal funds rate when inflation is above target or lowering the federal funds rate when a recession appears to b...

This paper analyzes the stability of the exchange rate in an economy with noise traders. Noise trading is restricted to agents investing in the domestic stock market. The agents pricing foreign exchange hold rational expectations. Monetary policy is affected by the behavior of investors in the domestic stock market and in turn affects fundamental stock evaluations as well as noise trading. We s...

anti-money laundering act of 1386 granted authority to the supreme council to ratify regulations required by the law. the council adopted bylaws, approved in 1388, but with powers that have been delegated to him under the pretext of some of the crimes emerging technology in the modern criminal justice deficiencies in the law to coordinate with the international instruments such as the palermo c...

The house price-to-income ratio (PIR) is widely used as an affordability indicator. This paper complements the cross-sectionally focused literature by proposing a tractable model for PIR dynamics. Our predicts that very persistent and correlated to lagged aggregate output. Cross-country analysis confirms this prediction provides evidence long-term, positive, significant relationship between pro...

The OLG model of Allais and Samuelson retains the methodological assumptions of agent optimization and market clearing from the Arrow–Debreu model, yet its equilibrium set has different properties: Pareto inefficiency, multiplicity, positive valuation of money, and a golden rule equilibrium in which the rate of interest is equal to population growth (independent of impatience). These properties...

The OLG model of Allais and Samuelson retains the methodological assumptions of agent optimization and market clearing from the Arrow-Debreu model, yet its equilibrium set has different properties: Pareto inefficiency, indeterminacy, positive valuation of money, and a golden rule equilibrium in which the rate of interest is equal to population growth (independent of impatience). These propertie...