We investigate whether a class of trend models, which decompose time series into an underlying and transitory component, with various error term structures can improve upon the forecast performance commonly used models when forecasting consumer price index (CPI) inflation in Australia. The main result is that tend to provide more accurate point density forecasts at medium long horizons compared...

The one-pot four component synthesis of 3-(Imino)-2,3-dihydropyrrolo[2,1-a]isoquinoline-1,1(10bH)-dicarbonitrile derivatives via a catalyst-free reaction between aryl aldehydes, malononitrile, isoquinoline and isocyanides was successfully conducted in glycerol as a benign, nontoxic and biodegradable promoting reaction medium. The progress of the reaction with two different common purification m...

Well-known coupled dipole approximation method is extended to multilayered media to obtain a more realistic model for plasmonic waveguides. The key component of the developed method is the layered medium Green's functions. Theoretically calculated resonance frequencies show a very good agreement with the experimental results found in the literature. Keywords-plasmonic waveguides; dispersion; pr...

We demonstrate numerically that partially incoherent light can be trapped in the spectral band gaps of a photonic lattice, creating partially incoherent multi-component spatial optical solitons in a self-defocusing nonlinear periodic medium. We find numerically such incoherent multi-gap optical solitons and discuss how to generate them in experiment by interfering incoherent light beams at the ...

Let $pounds$ be the category of locally compact abelian groups and $A,Cin pounds$. In this paper, we define component extensions of $A$ by $C$ and show that the set of all component extensions of $A$ by $C$ forms a subgroup of $Ext(C,A)$ whenever $A$ is a connected group. We establish conditions under which the component extensions split and determine LCA groups which are component projective. ...

In Caenorhabditis elegans, several manipulations that affect nutrition slow development, reduce fecundity, and increase life span. These are viewed as dietary restriction (DR) and include culture in semidefined, nutrient-rich liquid medium that is axenic (i.e., there is no microbial food source). Here we describe convenient ways to exert DR by culture on agar plates containing axenic medium. We...

Using Biot's theory, a set of boundary conditions is presented for wave transmission and reflection at the contact surface between an elastic medium (fluid or solid) and a fluid-saturated porous solid (Biot medium). The analysis shows the continuity of the normal component of the density energy flux vectors across the contact surfaces, so that total energy is preserved. Energy reflection and tr...

The formation of HEMF[2(or 5)-ethyl-5(or 2)-methyl-4-hydroxy-3(2H)-furanone], the aroma component specific to miso and soy sauce, was promoted by cultivating the halo-tolerant yeast, Zygosaccharomyces rouxii, in a medium including the amino-carbonyl reaction products based on ribose and glycine. The glucose concentration in the medium influenced the HEMF formation by Z. rouxii.

Le CIRANO collabore avec de nombreux centres et chaires de recherche universitaires dont on peut consulter la liste sur son site web. Les cahiers de la série scientifique (CS) visent à rendre accessibles des résultats de recherche effectuée au CIRANO afin de susciter échanges et commentaires. Ces cahiers sont écrits dans le style des publications scientifiques. Les idées et les opinions émises ...

We study the scattering of low-energy Cosmic Rays (CRs) in a turbulent, compressive MHD fluid. We show that compressible MHD modes – fast or slow waves with wave lengths smaller than CR mean free paths induce cyclotron instability in CRs. The instability feeds the new small-scale Alfvénic wave component with wave vectors mostly along magnetic field, which is not a part of the MHD turbulence cas...