The inconclusiveness of findings from various studies on Nigeria the effect crude oil price fluctuation stock market has led to an argument in literature, thus necessitating further exploration subject. This study examines variations selected performance variables using monthly frequency data covering January 1997 December 2016. Variance decomposition, impulse response analysis, and VAR estimat...

the price of oil plays an important role in the global economy and is an important factor influencing the government and commercial sectors. because of increasing importance of oil in financial markets, oil price predictions have always been an important subject for the researchers in economics, and other economic agents. this paper tries to study the behavior of crude oil prices based on smoot...

Declining production from conventional oil resources has initiated a global transition to unconventional oil, such as tar sands. Unconventional oil is generally harder to extract than conventional oil and is expected to have a (much) lower energy return on (energy) investment (EROI). Recently, there has been a surge in publications estimating the EROI of a number of different sources of oil, an...

Reliable forecasts of the price of oil are of interest for a wide range of applications. For example, central banks and private sector forecasters view the price of oil as one of the key variables in generating macroeconomic projections and in assessing macroeconomic risks. Of particular interest is the question of the extent to which the price of oil is helpful in predicting recessions. This p...

Stock price, been studied for hundreds of years, is one of the most versatile thus hardly predictable things that is deeply rooted in the modern economy. With the trading frequency reaching sub-second and beyond, more advanced real-time stock price prediction tools would be highly demanded in addition to traditional financial analysis. In this work, we applied SVM and Naïve Bayes algorithms to ...

The paper estimates the effect of oil price fluctuations on GDP growth, using linear and nonlinear VAR models with data from 12 countries. It reports strong significance for the existence of non-linear moderator effects caused by a decline in the oil-to-energy share, which weakens the causal effect of oil prices on economic growth. A consideration of the relationship of oil prices and GDP over ...

This paper analyzes empirically the effect of crude oil price change on the economic growth of Indian-Subcontinent (India, Pakistan and Bangladesh). We use a multivariate Vector Autoregressive analysis followed by Wald Granger causality test and Impulse Response Function (IRF). Wald Granger causality test results show that only India’s economic growth is significantly affected when crude oil pr...

Oil producers are going through a hard period. They have a number of real options at their disposal. This paper addresses the valuation of two of them: the option to delay investment and the option to abandon a producing field. A prerequisite for this is to determine the value of a producing well. For this purpose we draw on a stochastic model of oil price with three risk factors: spot price, l...