Hidden Markov models have become a popular tool for modeling long-term investment guarantees. Many different variations of hidden Markov models have been proposed over the past decades for modeling indexes such as the S&P 500, and they capture the tail risk inherent in the market to varying degrees. However, goodness-of-fit testing, such as residual-based testing, for hidden Markov models is a ...

the geometric distribution of states duration is one of the main performance limiting assumptions of hidden markov modeling of speech signals. stochastic segment models, generally, and segmental hmm, specifically, overcome this deficiency partly at the cost of more complexity in both training and recognition phases. in this paper, a new duration modeling approach is presented. the main idea of ...