نتایج جستجو برای: foresight methodology
تعداد نتایج: 242832 فیلتر نتایج به سال:
Article history: Received 21 June 2013 Received in revised form 25 August 2014 Accepted 28 August 2014 Available online 18 September 2014 This paper explores the relationship between corporate foresight and the capability of the organization to respond successfully to external changes (i.e., strategic agility).More generally, we investigate the value that firms, facing growing uncertainty becau...
We make a further attempt to investigate equilibrium stability of a nonlinear Cournot duopoly game with adaptive adjustment toward best reply by assuming heterogeneous firms where one firm only uses naive expectations whereas the other employs a simple forecast technology to form sophisticated expectations. More precisely, based on the knowledge of actual production of the competitor and its ac...
We study a variant of the repeated prisoner’s dilemma with uncertain horizon, in which each player chooses his foresight ability; that is, the timing in which he is informed about the realized length of the interaction. In addition, each player has an independent probability to observe the opponent’s foresight ability. We show that if this probability is not too close to 0 or 1, then the game a...
Article history: Received 16 April 2007 Received in revised form 3 April 2008 Accepted 5 April 2008 Expectations held by different actor groups are of key importance for the shaping of sociotechnical transformation processes. Foresight activities may be interpreted as a means to elicit, aggregate, modulate and contextualize expectations held by different actors. The paper proposes a conceptual ...
Learning facts without first considering what they could be can lead to hindsight bias. How might this impact (a) memory and (b) understanding of novel topics? Foresight participants read about five psychology studies, including mean performance of one group; then they estimated the mean performance of another group and stated causes for the difference; finally, they received the second group’s...
The article substantiates the development of a program for conducting foresight session as part entrepreneurship education. Based on identification learning technologies, description technology is given. describes methodology using in field entrepreneurial Particular attention paid to rationale within presented ecosystem study possibilities education, given case advanced training teachers speci...
Current tools for exploratory data analysis (EDA) require users to manually select data attributes, statistical computations and visual encodings. This can be daunting for large-scale, complex data. We introduce Foresight, a system that helps the user rapidly discover visual insights from large high-dimensional datasets. Formally, an “insight” is a strong manifestation of a statistical property...
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