Recently Chen and Fan (2003a) introduced a new class of semiparametric copula-based multivariate dynamic (SCOMDY) models. A SCOMDY model specifies the conditional mean and the conditional variance of a multivariate time series parametrically (such as VAR, GARCH), but specifies the multivariate distribution of the standardized innovation semiparametrically as a parametric copula evaluated at non...

We tackle the problem of multi-task learning with copula process. Multivariable prediction in spatial and spatialtemporal processes such as natural resource estimation and pollution monitoring have been typically addressed using techniques based on Gaussian processes and co-Kriging. While the Gaussian prior assumption is convenient from analytical and computational perspectives, nature is domin...

We describe a model that takes into account the tail dependence present in a large set of historical risk factor data using the modern concept of copulas. We extend the popular t-copula to obtain a new grouped t-copula which describes more accurately the dependence among risk factors of different classes. We explain how to estimate the parameters of the grouped t-copula and apply the method to ...

In this paper, we provide two one-factor heavy-tailed copula models for pricing a collateralized debt obligation and credit default index swap tranches: (1) a one-factor double t distribution with fractional degrees of freedom copula model and (2) a one-factor double mixture distribution of t and Gaussian distribution copula model. A tail-fatness parameter is introduced in each model, allowing ...

AMS 2000 subject class: Primary 62H20 60F05 62G20 Secondary 60G15 62G10 Keywords: Multivariate measure of association Copula Nonparametric estimation Empirical copula process Weak convergence Nonparametric bootstrap Strong mixing a b s t r a c t A multivariate measure of association is proposed, which extends the bivariate copula-based measure Phi-Square introduced by Hoeffding [22]. We discuss...

Tail dependence and conditional tail dependence functions describe, respectively, the tail probabilities and conditional tail probabilities of a copula at various relative scales. The properties as well as the interplay of these two functions are established based upon their homogeneous structures. The extremal dependence of a copula, as described by its extreme value copulas, is shown to be co...

This paper studies the problem of default correlation. We first introduce a random variable called “timeuntil-default” to denote the survival time of each defaultable entity or financial instrument, and define the default correlation between two credit risks as the correlation coefficient between their survival times. Then we argue why a copula function approach should be used to specify the jo...

Hydrological multivariate analysis has been widely studied using copula-based modelling, in which marginal distribution inference is one of the key issues. The main object of this study is to discuss the applicability of the principle of maximum entropy (POME) in marginal distribution inference, thus to develop a POME-copula framework to analyse the dependence of hydrological variables. Margina...

In recent years special attention has been devoted to the problem of finding a copula, the diagonal section and opposite diagonal section of which are known. For given diagonal function and opposite diagonal functions, we provide necessary and sufficient conditions for the existence of a copula to have these functions as diagonal and opposite diagonal sections. We make use of techniques related...

Copulas have become an important analytic tool for characterizing multivariate distributions and dependence. One is often interested in simulating data from copula estimates. The process can be analytically and computationally complex and usually involves steps that are unique to a given parametric copula. We describe an alternative approach that uses ‘Probability-Proportional-to-Size’ random s...